Nacional at Penarol

Updated

Nacional

25.3%22.8%51.9%
Nacional WinDrawPenarol Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.81
1Final Score 0

Penarol

Last Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Penarol+200
Penarol
Money Line
W 2-1 at Nacional+170
T 0-0 at Sport Huancayo-325
L 1-2 at River Plate-105
W 0-4 vs Corinthians+100
W 0-3 vs River Plate-270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+230-+205+205+196+205+205-
Penarol+135-+140+145+142+145+145-
Draw+200-+215+215+225+215+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+250----+200+200-
Penarol+135----+150+150-
Draw+195----+210+210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Penarol: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Penarol: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120-o2¼-105o2-145-o2-145o2-145-
Underu2+100-u2¼-115u2+125-u2+125u2¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120----o2-145o2-145-
Underu2+100----u2+125u2+125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.80%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.96%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 041.42%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.09%
Exactly 34.73%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 016.41%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.14%
Exactly 47.29%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.80%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 066.49%
Exactly 127.13%
Exactly 25.54%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 043.31%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.16%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals5.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals34.14%
Wins by 3+ goals15.84%
Wins by 4+ goals6.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Penarol
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal12.21%
Wins by 2 goals4.35%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal25.04%
Wins by 2 goals18.30%
Wins by 3 goals9.81%
Wins by 4 goals4.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.92%25.08%
2.550.36%49.64%
3.528.34%71.66%
4.513.54%86.46%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.58%41.42%
1.522.07%77.93%
2.55.98%94.02%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.59%16.41%
1.553.93%46.07%
2.527.13%72.87%
3.510.99%89.01%
4.53.69%96.31%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.20%28.80%
1.535.35%64.65%
2.513.04%86.96%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Penarol
Score012345
0
6.80%
12.29%
11.10%
6.69%
3.02%
1.09%
1
5.99%
10.83%
9.78%
5.89%
2.66%
0.96%
2
2.64%
4.77%
4.31%
2.60%
1.17%
0.42%
3
0.78%
1.40%
1.27%
0.76%
0.34%
0.12%
4
0.17%
0.31%
0.28%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Nacional
1-05.99%
2-02.64%
2-14.77%
3-00.78%
3-11.40%
3-21.27%
4-00.17%
4-10.31%
4-20.28%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-110.83%
2-24.31%
3-30.76%
Penarol
0-112.29%
0-211.10%
1-29.78%
0-36.69%
1-35.89%
2-32.60%
0-43.02%
1-42.66%
2-41.17%
3-40.34%
0-51.09%
1-50.96%
2-50.42%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Penarol
Score01234
0
28.80%
24.10%
10.08%
2.81%
0.59%
1
11.75%
9.83%
4.11%
1.15%
0.24%
2
2.40%
2.01%
0.84%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.33%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-011.75%
2-02.40%
2-12.01%
3-00.33%
3-10.27%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.80%
1-19.83%
2-20.84%
Penarol
0-124.10%
0-210.08%
1-24.11%
0-32.81%
1-31.15%
2-30.23%
0-40.59%
1-40.24%