Libertad at Fortaleza

Updated

Libertad

21.7%24.9%53.4%
Libertad WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last Games

Libertad
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza+120
W 1-0 at Tigre+240
L 3-1 vs Bragantino+165
L 0-2 at Bragantino+460
W 0-1 vs Santos+115
Fortaleza
Money Line
W 1-0 at Libertad+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+320-+280+297+297+297+297+316.8
Fortaleza-115-+100-105-105-105+100+105.0
Draw+235-+230+250+250+250+250+267.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+380----+330+330+316.8
Fortaleza-120-----120-120+105.0
Draw+235----+265+265+267.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 30.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2½+105o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-109
Underu2½-115-u2½-125u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+100u2½-125u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-109
Under-----u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.86%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 413.71%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.98%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 56.97%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 039.47%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 019.91%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.95%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.79%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 065.02%
Exactly 127.99%
Exactly 26.02%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 047.36%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.23%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals7.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals28.50%
Wins by 3+ goals12.08%
Wins by 4+ goals4.17%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.44%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal24.90%
Wins by 2 goals16.42%
Wins by 3 goals7.91%
Wins by 4 goals2.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.14%7.86%
1.572.16%27.84%
2.546.74%53.26%
3.525.19%74.81%
4.511.48%88.52%
5.54.50%95.50%
6.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.53%39.47%
1.523.84%76.16%
2.56.78%93.22%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.09%19.91%
1.547.96%52.04%
2.522.03%77.97%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.21%30.79%
1.532.93%67.07%
2.511.57%88.43%
3.53.19%96.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
7.86%
12.68%
10.23%
5.51%
2.22%
0.72%
1
7.30%
11.79%
9.52%
5.12%
2.07%
0.67%
2
3.40%
5.48%
4.42%
2.38%
0.96%
0.31%
3
1.05%
1.70%
1.37%
0.74%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.24%
0.39%
0.32%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Libertad
1-07.30%
2-03.40%
2-15.48%
3-01.05%
3-11.70%
3-21.37%
4-00.24%
4-10.39%
4-20.32%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.86%
1-111.79%
2-24.42%
3-30.74%
Fortaleza
0-112.68%
0-210.23%
1-29.52%
0-35.51%
1-35.12%
2-32.38%
0-42.22%
1-42.07%
2-40.96%
3-40.30%
0-50.72%
1-50.67%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
30.79%
23.01%
8.60%
2.14%
0.40%
1
13.26%
9.91%
3.70%
0.92%
0.17%
2
2.85%
2.13%
0.80%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.41%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Libertad
1-013.26%
2-02.85%
2-12.13%
3-00.41%
3-10.31%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.79%
1-19.91%
2-20.80%
Fortaleza
0-123.01%
0-28.60%
1-23.70%
0-32.14%
1-30.92%
2-30.20%
0-40.40%
1-40.17%