Independiente at Sao Paulo

Updated

Independiente

18.0%23.1%58.9%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.77
2Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 3-0 at Melgar+270
W 0-3 vs Melgar-140
W 1-4 vs Deportivo Tachira-290
W 1-0 at Deportivo Tachira+140
T 0-0 at Lanus+280
Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Atletico Goianiense-265
L 1-3 at Atletico Goianiense+125
W 4-3 at Ceara+270
W 0-1 vs Ceara-145
W 1-4 vs U Catolica-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+370-+400+400-+400+400-
Sao Paulo-130--130-130--130-130-
Draw+250-+255+250-+250+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+350----+400+400-
Sao Paulo-115-----135-135-
Draw+240----+260+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2¼-103o2¼-105-o2¼-105o2¼-103-
Underu2¼-110-u2¼-111u2¼-115-u2¼-115u2¼-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125----o2½+125o2½+125-
Underu2½-145----u2½-145u2½-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.20%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 414.37%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.95%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.56%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 042.29%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.66%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 017.03%
Exactly 130.15%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.74%
Exactly 46.97%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.58%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 067.13%
Exactly 126.75%
Exactly 25.33%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 044.06%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals5.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals33.59%
Wins by 3+ goals15.37%
Wins by 4+ goals5.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal12.28%
Wins by 2 goals4.31%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.26%
Wins by 2 goals18.22%
Wins by 3 goals9.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.97%
Wins by 5 goals1.34%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.80%7.20%
1.573.85%26.15%
2.548.92%51.08%
3.527.07%72.93%
4.512.69%87.31%
5.55.13%94.87%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.71%42.29%
1.521.31%78.69%
2.55.65%94.35%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.97%17.03%
1.552.82%47.18%
2.526.14%73.86%
3.510.39%89.61%
4.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.42%29.58%
1.534.39%65.61%
2.512.44%87.56%
3.53.53%96.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
7.20%
12.75%
11.28%
6.66%
2.95%
1.04%
1
6.20%
10.97%
9.71%
5.73%
2.54%
0.90%
2
2.67%
4.72%
4.18%
2.47%
1.09%
0.39%
3
0.77%
1.35%
1.20%
0.71%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.16%
0.29%
0.26%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
Independiente
1-06.20%
2-02.67%
2-14.72%
3-00.77%
3-11.35%
3-21.20%
4-00.16%
4-10.29%
4-20.26%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.20%
1-110.97%
2-24.18%
3-30.71%
Sao Paulo
0-112.75%
0-211.28%
1-29.71%
0-36.66%
1-35.73%
2-32.47%
0-42.95%
1-42.54%
2-41.09%
3-40.31%
0-51.04%
1-50.90%
2-50.39%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
29.58%
24.24%
9.93%
2.71%
0.56%
1
11.79%
9.66%
3.96%
1.08%
0.22%
2
2.35%
1.92%
0.79%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.31%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-011.79%
2-02.35%
2-11.92%
3-00.31%
3-10.26%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-029.58%
1-19.66%
2-20.79%
Sao Paulo
0-124.24%
0-29.93%
1-23.96%
0-32.71%
1-31.08%
2-30.22%
0-40.56%
1-40.22%