Melgar at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Melgar

13.4%12.6%74.0%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.46Projected Goals 2.56
0Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last Games

Melgar
Money Line
L 1-2 at SD Aucas+230
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+340
W 0-2 vs SD Aucas+175
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Metropolitanos-200
L 0-1 at Melgar-110
W 0-1 vs Metropolitanos-750
W 1-0 at SD Aucas+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Melgar+634+764+700+690+717+690+764-
Athletico Paranaense-228-263-280-286-251-286-251-
Draw+338+377+325+325+349+325+377-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Melgar+775----+750+750-
Athletico Paranaense-275-----270-270-
Draw+375----+380+380-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Melgar: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Melgar: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Melgar ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Melgar: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Melgar: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Melgar ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-101o2½-105o2½-101-o2½-101o2½-101-
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2½-125u2½-119-u2½-119u2½-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.3%
 
No65.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.86%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 416.94%
Exactly 65.17%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.69%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.25%
Exactly 72.23%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Melgar
Exactly 062.85%
Exactly 129.19%
Exactly 26.78%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 07.73%
Exactly 119.79%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 413.84%
Exactly 57.09%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 80.35%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.65%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Melgar
Exactly 080.65%
Exactly 117.34%
Exactly 21.86%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Melgar
Wins by 2+ goals0.88%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals61.15%
Wins by 3+ goals37.90%
Wins by 4+ goals19.76%
Wins by 5+ goals8.78%
Wins by 6+ goals3.37%
Wins by 7+ goals1.12%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Melgar
Athletico Paranaense
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Melgar
Wins by 1 goal3.89%
Wins by 2 goals0.76%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal21.45%
Wins by 2 goals23.24%
Wins by 3 goals18.14%
Wins by 4 goals10.98%
Wins by 5 goals5.41%
Wins by 6 goals2.25%
Wins by 7 goals0.81%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.14%4.86%
1.580.45%19.55%
2.558.24%41.76%
3.535.83%64.17%
4.518.89%81.11%
5.58.64%91.36%
6.53.48%96.52%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Melgar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.15%62.85%
1.57.96%92.04%
2.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.27%7.73%
1.572.49%27.51%
2.547.16%52.84%
3.525.54%74.46%
4.511.70%88.30%
5.54.62%95.38%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.35%24.65%
1.540.83%59.17%
2.516.66%83.34%
3.55.38%94.62%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Melgar
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
4.86%
12.43%
15.92%
13.59%
8.70%
4.45%
1
2.26%
5.78%
7.39%
6.31%
4.04%
2.07%
2
0.52%
1.34%
1.72%
1.47%
0.94%
0.48%
Melgar
1-02.26%
2-00.52%
2-11.34%
Draw
0-04.86%
1-15.78%
2-21.72%
3-30.23%
Athletico Paranaense
0-112.43%
0-215.92%
1-27.39%
0-313.59%
1-36.31%
2-31.47%
0-48.70%
1-44.04%
2-40.94%
3-40.15%
0-54.45%
1-52.07%
2-50.48%

Correct Score - First Half

Melgar
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
24.65%
29.22%
17.32%
6.84%
2.03%
0.48%
1
5.30%
6.28%
3.72%
1.47%
0.44%
0.10%
2
0.57%
0.68%
0.40%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Melgar
1-05.30%
2-00.57%
2-10.68%
Draw
0-024.65%
1-16.28%
2-20.40%
Athletico Paranaense
0-129.22%
0-217.32%
1-23.72%
0-36.84%
1-31.47%
2-30.16%
0-42.03%
1-40.44%
0-50.48%
1-50.10%