Independiente at Ceara

Updated

Independiente

19.8%25.9%54.2%
WinDrawCeara Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.52
1Final Score 2

Ceara

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Santos+110
L 0-1 at Santos+325
W 0-1 vs Guabira-1250
W 0-1 vs Bahia+100
T 1-1 at Torque+195
Ceara
Money Line
L 0-1 at Wilstermann-120
W 0-2 vs Bolivar-330
T 0-0 vs Arsenal-185
T 0-0 at Bolivar+700
T 0-0 at Arsenal+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+272+390-+410+359-+410+432.6
Ceara+109-125--113-121--113-110.1
Draw+219+220-+216+239-+239+247.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+432.6
Ceara------110.1
Draw-----+247.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Ceara: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-115o2-120-o2-114--o2-114o2-104
Underu2-105u2+100-u2-101--u2+100u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.76%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 411.92%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.71%
Exactly 320.49%
Exactly 55.55%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 044.70%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.49%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 021.83%
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 312.82%
Exactly 44.88%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.05%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 068.88%
Exactly 125.68%
Exactly 24.79%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 049.43%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 212.27%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals6.05%
Wins by 3+ goals1.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals28.14%
Wins by 3+ goals11.45%
Wins by 4+ goals3.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.97%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Ceara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal13.76%
Wins by 2 goals4.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal26.01%
Wins by 2 goals16.68%
Wins by 3 goals7.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.24%9.76%
1.567.53%32.47%
2.541.11%58.89%
3.520.62%79.38%
4.58.69%91.31%
5.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.30%44.70%
1.519.31%80.69%
2.54.82%95.18%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.17%21.83%
1.544.94%55.06%
2.519.66%80.34%
3.56.84%93.16%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.95%34.05%
1.529.27%70.73%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Ceara
Score012345
0
9.76%
14.85%
11.30%
5.73%
2.18%
0.66%
1
7.86%
11.96%
9.10%
4.62%
1.76%
0.53%
2
3.16%
4.81%
3.66%
1.86%
0.71%
0.22%
3
0.85%
1.29%
0.98%
0.50%
0.19%
0.06%
4
0.17%
0.26%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Independiente
1-07.86%
2-03.16%
2-14.81%
3-00.85%
3-11.29%
3-20.98%
4-00.17%
4-10.26%
4-20.20%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-09.76%
1-111.96%
2-23.66%
3-30.50%
Ceara
0-114.85%
0-211.30%
1-29.10%
0-35.73%
1-34.62%
2-31.86%
0-42.18%
1-41.76%
2-40.71%
3-40.19%
0-50.66%
1-50.53%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Ceara
Score01234
0
34.05%
23.99%
8.45%
1.98%
0.35%
1
12.69%
8.94%
3.15%
0.74%
0.13%
2
2.37%
1.67%
0.59%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.29%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-012.69%
2-02.37%
2-11.67%
3-00.29%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-034.05%
1-18.94%
2-20.59%
Ceara
0-123.99%
0-28.45%
1-23.15%
0-31.98%
1-30.74%
2-30.14%
0-40.35%
1-40.13%