Independiente at U Cesar Vallejo

Updated

Independiente

50.0%28.2%21.8%
Independiente WinDrawU Cesar Vallejo Win
1.35Projected Goals 0.78
5Final Score 1

U Cesar Vallejo

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Defensa y Just
L 0-2 at San Lorenzo+530
T 1-1 vs Guairena FC
L 0-2 at Internacional
L 2-3 at 12 de Octubre
U Cesar Vallejo
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Defensa y Just
L 0-3 at LDU de Quito+1975
W 2-3 vs Deportes Magallanes+130
L 3-2 vs Botafogo RJ+450
T 2-2 at Deportes Magallanes+575

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+117--+113+118+113+118+138.3
U Cesar Vallejo+178--+197+224+197+224+232.2
Draw+235--+220+236+220+236+258.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+138.3
U Cesar Vallejo-----+232.2
Draw-----+258.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
U Cesar Vallejo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 30.0%
U Cesar Vallejo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
U Cesar Vallejo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On U Cesar Vallejo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-111--o2½+100o2½-101o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-109--u2½-120u2½-123u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.88%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.19%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.31%
Exactly 319.14%
Exactly 54.34%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 026.04%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - U Cesar Vallejo
Exactly 045.62%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 214.05%
Exactly 33.68%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.29%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 053.64%
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 210.41%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - U Cesar Vallejo
Exactly 069.53%
Exactly 125.27%
Exactly 24.59%
Exactly 30.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals23.92%
Wins by 3+ goals8.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.61%
U Cesar Vallejo
Wins by 2+ goals6.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
U Cesar Vallejo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal26.05%
Wins by 2 goals15.07%
Wins by 3 goals6.24%
Wins by 4 goals1.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
U Cesar Vallejo
Wins by 1 goal15.19%
Wins by 2 goals5.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.12%11.88%
1.562.81%37.19%
2.535.85%64.15%
3.516.71%83.29%
4.56.52%93.48%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.96%26.04%
1.538.92%61.08%
2.515.35%84.65%
3.54.78%95.22%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals U Cesar Vallejo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.38%45.62%
1.518.58%81.42%
2.54.53%95.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.71%37.29%
1.525.92%74.08%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
U Cesar Vallejo
Score01234
0
11.88%
9.32%
3.66%
0.96%
0.19%
1
15.98%
12.55%
4.92%
1.29%
0.25%
2
10.75%
8.44%
3.31%
0.87%
0.17%
3
4.82%
3.78%
1.49%
0.39%
0.08%
4
1.62%
1.27%
0.50%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.44%
0.34%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Independiente
1-015.98%
2-010.75%
2-18.44%
3-04.82%
3-13.78%
3-21.49%
4-01.62%
4-11.27%
4-20.50%
4-30.13%
5-00.44%
5-10.34%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-011.88%
1-112.55%
2-23.31%
3-30.39%
U Cesar Vallejo
0-19.32%
0-23.66%
1-24.92%
0-30.96%
1-31.29%
2-30.87%
0-40.19%
1-40.25%
2-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
U Cesar Vallejo
Score0123
0
37.29%
13.55%
2.46%
0.30%
1
23.23%
8.44%
1.53%
0.19%
2
7.24%
2.63%
0.48%
0.06%
3
1.50%
0.55%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-023.23%
2-07.24%
2-12.63%
3-01.50%
3-10.55%
4-00.23%
Draw
0-037.29%
1-18.44%
2-20.48%
U Cesar Vallejo
0-113.55%
0-22.46%
1-21.53%
0-30.30%
1-30.19%
Argentinos Jun at Racing
Danubio at Sportivo Ameliano