Corinthians at Nacional

Updated

Corinthians

40.9%29.9%29.2%
Corinthians WinDrawNacional Win
1.15Projected Goals 0.92
2Final Score 0

Nacional

Last Games

Corinthians
Money Line
L 0-2 at Fortaleza+450
W 3-2 at Estudiantes+425
W 0-1 vs Estudiantes+110
T 0-0 at Newell's OB+400
W 1-2 vs Newell's OB+100
Nacional
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Corinthians+104-125--132-134-132-125-107.5
Nacional+296+387-+325+371+325+387+366.8
Draw+237+259-+240+258+240+259+273.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Corinthians------107.5
Nacional-----+366.8
Draw-----+273.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Corinthians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Corinthians: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Corinthians: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Corinthians: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+116-o2¼-110o2¼-113o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼+100
Underu2½-134u2½-138-u2¼-110u2¼-109u2¼-110u2½-138u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.2%
 
No58.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.58%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.68%
Exactly 61.39%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.08%
Exactly 318.68%
Exactly 54.01%
Exactly 70.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Corinthians
Exactly 031.68%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 039.72%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.93%
Exactly 35.21%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.30%
Exactly 217.64%
Exactly 41.35%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Corinthians
Exactly 058.73%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 065.21%
Exactly 127.88%
Exactly 25.96%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Corinthians
Wins by 2+ goals17.21%
Wins by 3+ goals5.54%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals10.20%
Wins by 3+ goals2.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Corinthians
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Corinthians
Wins by 1 goal23.62%
Wins by 2 goals11.67%
Wins by 3 goals4.13%
Wins by 4 goals1.13%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals7.53%
Wins by 3 goals2.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.42%12.58%
1.561.34%38.66%
2.534.30%65.70%
3.515.63%84.37%
4.55.95%94.05%
5.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Corinthians Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.32%31.68%
1.531.90%68.10%
2.510.97%89.03%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.28%39.72%
1.523.61%76.39%
2.56.68%93.32%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.70%38.30%
1.524.94%75.06%
2.57.30%92.70%
3.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Corinthians
Nacional
Score01234
0
12.58%
11.62%
5.36%
1.65%
0.38%
1
14.46%
13.36%
6.17%
1.90%
0.44%
2
8.31%
7.68%
3.54%
1.09%
0.25%
3
3.19%
2.94%
1.36%
0.42%
0.10%
4
0.92%
0.85%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.21%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Corinthians
1-014.46%
2-08.31%
2-17.68%
3-03.19%
3-12.94%
3-21.36%
4-00.92%
4-10.85%
4-20.39%
4-30.12%
5-00.21%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-012.58%
1-113.36%
2-23.54%
3-30.42%
Nacional
0-111.62%
0-25.36%
1-26.17%
0-31.65%
1-31.90%
2-31.09%
0-40.38%
1-40.44%
2-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Corinthians
Nacional
Score0123
0
38.30%
16.37%
3.50%
0.50%
1
20.38%
8.71%
1.86%
0.27%
2
5.42%
2.32%
0.50%
0.07%
3
0.96%
0.41%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Corinthians
1-020.38%
2-05.42%
2-12.32%
3-00.96%
3-10.41%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-038.30%
1-18.71%
2-20.50%
Nacional
0-116.37%
0-23.50%
1-21.86%
0-30.50%
1-30.27%
Defensa y Just at Independiente
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