Danubio at Guarani

Updated

Danubio

18.9%24.7%56.4%
WinDrawGuarani Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 2

Guarani

Last Games

Danubio
Money Line
W 4-3 at Defensor+230
Guarani
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Danubio+300--+183-+183+183+202.9
Guarani-104--+155-+155+155+172.9
Draw+223--+208-+208+208+229.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Danubio+270----+260+260+202.9
Guarani+105----+115+115+172.9
Draw+240----+225+225+229.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Danubio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guarani: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Danubio: 0.0%
Guarani: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Danubio: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Danubio: 0.0%
Guarani: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Danubio ML
No Steam Moves On Guarani ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Danubio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guarani: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Danubio: 0.0%
Guarani: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Danubio: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Danubio: 0.0%
Guarani: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Danubio ML
No Steam Moves On Guarani ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102--o2-128-o2-128o2-128o2-117
Underu2¼-118--u2+108-u2+108u2+108u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-117
Under-----u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.95%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.15%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Danubio
Exactly 043.91%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Guarani
Exactly 019.66%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 314.10%
Exactly 45.73%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.17%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Danubio
Exactly 068.31%
Exactly 126.03%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Guarani
Exactly 047.09%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 213.35%
Exactly 33.35%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Danubio
Wins by 2+ goals5.81%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Guarani
Wins by 2+ goals30.62%
Wins by 3+ goals13.17%
Wins by 4+ goals4.61%
Wins by 5+ goals1.34%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Danubio
Guarani
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Danubio
Wins by 1 goal13.05%
Wins by 2 goals4.47%
Wins by 3 goals1.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Guarani
Wins by 1 goal25.79%
Wins by 2 goals17.45%
Wins by 3 goals8.56%
Wins by 4 goals3.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.02%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.22%29.78%
2.544.32%55.68%
3.523.17%76.83%
4.510.22%89.78%
5.53.87%96.13%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Danubio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.09%43.91%
1.519.95%80.05%
2.55.08%94.92%

Total Goals Guarani Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.34%19.66%
1.548.36%51.64%
2.522.35%77.65%
3.58.25%91.75%
4.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.83%32.17%
1.531.35%68.65%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Danubio
Guarani
Score012345
0
8.63%
14.04%
11.42%
6.19%
2.52%
0.82%
1
7.11%
11.56%
9.40%
5.10%
2.07%
0.67%
2
2.92%
4.76%
3.87%
2.10%
0.85%
0.28%
3
0.80%
1.31%
1.06%
0.58%
0.23%
0.08%
4
0.17%
0.27%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Danubio
1-07.11%
2-02.92%
2-14.76%
3-00.80%
3-11.31%
3-21.06%
4-00.17%
4-10.27%
4-20.22%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.63%
1-111.56%
2-23.87%
3-30.58%
Guarani
0-114.04%
0-211.42%
1-29.40%
0-36.19%
1-35.10%
2-32.10%
0-42.52%
1-42.07%
2-40.85%
3-40.23%
0-50.82%
1-50.67%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Danubio
Guarani
Score01234
0
32.17%
24.23%
9.12%
2.29%
0.43%
1
12.26%
9.23%
3.48%
0.87%
0.16%
2
2.34%
1.76%
0.66%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Danubio
1-012.26%
2-02.34%
2-11.76%
3-00.30%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-032.17%
1-19.23%
2-20.66%
Guarani
0-124.23%
0-29.12%
1-23.48%
0-32.29%
1-30.87%
2-30.17%
0-40.43%
1-40.16%
Gimnasia ELP at Santa Fe
America (MG) at Defensa y Just