Aarhus at Brondby

Updated

Aarhus

30.9%26.8%42.3%
Aarhus WinDrawBrondby Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 1

Brondby

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Nordsjaelland+165
L 0-1 at Viborg+440
L 0-1 at Vejle+185
T 1-1 vs Sonderjyske+110
L 0-1 at Odense+295
Brondby
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Silkeborg-125
W 3-1 at Aalborg+240
T 2-2 at Midtjylland+455
T 1-1 vs FC Copenhagen+285
L 1-2 at Randers+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+300+330+345+325+326+345+345+358.0
Brondby-105-110-107+101-107-107+101+100.9
Draw+230+220+240+236+227+240+240+252.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+300----+330+330+358.0
Brondby+100-----110-110+100.9
Draw+235----+240+240+252.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 10.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +336 to +326
Brondby ML moved from -105 to -111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +345 to +290
Brondby ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-102o2¼-113o2½+121-o2¼-113o2¼-102o2½+128
Underu2½-115u2¼-118u2¼-107u2½-136-u2¼-107u2½-136u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+128
Under-----u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.26%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 413.31%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.60%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 56.64%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 032.40%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Brondby
Exactly 025.51%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.53%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 059.35%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brondby
Exactly 053.12%
Exactly 133.60%
Exactly 210.63%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Brondby
Wins by 2+ goals19.71%
Wins by 3+ goals7.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Brondby
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal18.58%
Wins by 2 goals8.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Brondby
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals12.52%
Wins by 3 goals5.09%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.74%8.26%
1.571.13%28.87%
2.545.45%54.55%
3.524.10%75.90%
4.510.79%89.21%
5.54.16%95.84%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.60%32.40%
1.531.08%68.92%
2.510.51%89.49%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Brondby Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.49%25.51%
1.539.65%60.35%
2.515.84%84.16%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.47%31.53%
1.532.08%67.92%
2.511.08%88.92%
3.52.99%97.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Brondby
Score012345
0
8.26%
11.29%
7.71%
3.51%
1.20%
0.33%
1
9.31%
12.72%
8.69%
3.96%
1.35%
0.37%
2
5.25%
7.17%
4.90%
2.23%
0.76%
0.21%
3
1.97%
2.69%
1.84%
0.84%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.56%
0.76%
0.52%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.17%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-09.31%
2-05.25%
2-17.17%
3-01.97%
3-12.69%
3-21.84%
4-00.56%
4-10.76%
4-20.52%
4-30.24%
5-00.13%
5-10.17%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-08.26%
1-112.72%
2-24.90%
3-30.84%
Brondby
0-111.29%
0-27.71%
1-28.69%
0-33.51%
1-33.96%
2-32.23%
0-41.20%
1-41.35%
2-40.76%
3-40.29%
0-50.33%
1-50.37%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Brondby
Score01234
0
31.53%
19.94%
6.31%
1.33%
0.21%
1
16.45%
10.41%
3.29%
0.69%
0.11%
2
4.29%
2.71%
0.86%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.47%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-016.45%
2-04.29%
2-12.71%
3-00.75%
3-10.47%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.53%
1-110.41%
2-20.86%
Brondby
0-119.94%
0-26.31%
1-23.29%
0-31.33%
1-30.69%
2-30.18%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%
Horsens at FC Copenhagen
Nordsjaelland at Odense