Aalborg at Aarhus

Updated

Aalborg

36.6%28.0%35.4%
Aalborg WinDrawAarhus Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.15
0Final Score 1

Aarhus

Last 5 Games

Aalborg
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Sonderjyske-170
L 1-2 at Brondby+215
W 0-2 vs Odense-105
W 3-2 at Viborg+210
W 1-2 vs Nordsjaelland+110
Aarhus
Money Line
L 0-4 at Midtjylland+385
W 0-1 vs Sonderjyske-140
W 2-0 at Silkeborg+180
W 0-1 vs Vejle-175
T 2-2 vs Odense+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalborg+185+175+176+183+169+176+183+190.8
Aarhus+145+160+156+163+153+156+163+170.3
Draw+230+225+235+240+240+235+240+249.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalborg+180----+180+180+190.8
Aarhus+145----+155+155+170.3
Draw+245----+230+230+249.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalborg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalborg: 10.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aalborg: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalborg: 0.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalborg ML moved from +186 to +176
Aarhus ML moved from +166 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalborg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalborg: 10.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aalborg: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalborg: 0.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalborg ML moved from +175 to +165
Aarhus ML moved from +165 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+102o2½+102o2½+108-o2½+102o2½+108o2½+114
Underu2½-118u2½-122u2½-122u2½-121-u2½-122u2½-121u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.56%
Exactly 226.34%
Exactly 412.10%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.44%
Exactly 320.61%
Exactly 55.68%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalborg
Exactly 030.31%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 031.54%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.73%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.22%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalborg
Exactly 057.54%
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 28.79%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 058.61%
Exactly 131.31%
Exactly 28.36%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aalborg
Wins by 2+ goals15.64%
Wins by 3+ goals5.12%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals14.41%
Wins by 3+ goals4.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Aalborg
Aarhus
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aalborg
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals10.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.78%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal20.59%
Wins by 2 goals9.84%
Wins by 3 goals3.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.44%9.56%
1.568.00%32.00%
2.541.65%58.35%
3.521.04%78.96%
4.58.94%91.06%
5.53.26%96.74%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Aalborg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.69%30.31%
1.533.51%66.49%
2.511.92%88.08%
3.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.46%31.54%
1.532.06%67.94%
2.511.07%88.93%
3.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.27%33.73%
1.529.62%70.38%
2.59.70%90.30%
3.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aalborg
Aarhus
Score012345
0
9.56%
11.03%
6.36%
2.45%
0.71%
0.16%
1
11.41%
13.17%
7.60%
2.92%
0.84%
0.19%
2
6.81%
7.86%
4.53%
1.74%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.71%
3.13%
1.80%
0.69%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.81%
0.93%
0.54%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.22%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aalborg
1-011.41%
2-06.81%
2-17.86%
3-02.71%
3-13.13%
3-21.80%
4-00.81%
4-10.93%
4-20.54%
4-30.21%
5-00.19%
5-10.22%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.56%
1-113.17%
2-24.53%
3-30.69%
Aarhus
0-111.03%
0-26.36%
1-27.60%
0-32.45%
1-32.92%
2-31.74%
0-40.71%
1-40.84%
2-40.50%
3-40.20%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Aalborg
Aarhus
Score01234
0
33.73%
18.02%
4.81%
0.86%
0.11%
1
18.64%
9.96%
2.66%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.15%
2.75%
0.74%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.95%
0.51%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aalborg
1-018.64%
2-05.15%
2-12.75%
3-00.95%
3-10.51%
3-20.14%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-033.73%
1-19.96%
2-20.74%
Aarhus
0-118.02%
0-24.81%
1-22.66%
0-30.86%
1-30.47%
2-30.13%
0-40.11%
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