Midtjylland at Aarhus

Updated

Midtjylland

45.2%26.5%28.3%
Midtjylland WinDrawAarhus Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 0

Aarhus

Last 5 Games

Midtjylland
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Viborg-115
W 1-2 vs FC Copenhagen+110
T 1-1 at Nordsjaelland+145
L 2-0 vs Aalborg-205
W 2-0 at Brondby+115
Aarhus
Money Line
L 0-1 at FC Copenhagen+375
W 1-3 vs Aalborg+110
L 0-1 at Silkeborg+250
L 3-2 vs Nordsjaelland+145
L 1-2 at Horsens+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+132+162+160+163+125+163+163+171.4
Aarhus+196+176+170+175+200+175+200+185.8
Draw+269+237+220+245+246+245+246+255.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Midtjylland+130----+145+145+171.4
Aarhus+210----+190+190+185.8
Draw+240----+235+235+255.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 20.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 0.0%
Aarhus: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Midtjylland ML moved from +140 to +130
Aarhus ML moved from +195 to +180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Midtjylland: 20.0%
Aarhus: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Midtjylland: 0.0%
Aarhus: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Midtjylland ML
Aarhus ML moved from +200 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-107o2½-105o2½-103-o2½-103o2½-103o2½+107
Underu2½+116u2½-111u2½-115u2½-117-u2½-117u2½-111u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-105 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.29%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 413.29%
Exactly 62.75%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.64%
Exactly 321.34%
Exactly 56.62%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 024.09%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 224.40%
Exactly 311.58%
Exactly 44.12%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 034.39%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.59%
Exactly 36.97%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.56%
Exactly 220.99%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.07%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 051.74%
Exactly 134.09%
Exactly 211.23%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 061.00%
Exactly 130.15%
Exactly 27.45%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals21.78%
Wins by 3+ goals8.24%
Wins by 4+ goals2.50%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%
Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals10.71%
Wins by 3+ goals3.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Midtjylland
Aarhus
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal23.33%
Wins by 2 goals13.53%
Wins by 3 goals5.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal17.50%
Wins by 2 goals7.61%
Wins by 3 goals2.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.71%8.29%
1.571.08%28.92%
2.545.38%54.62%
3.524.04%75.96%
4.510.76%89.24%
5.54.14%95.86%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.91%24.09%
1.541.62%58.38%
2.517.21%82.79%
3.55.64%94.36%
4.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.61%34.39%
1.528.90%71.10%
2.59.31%90.69%
3.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.44%31.56%
1.532.04%67.96%
2.511.05%88.95%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Midtjylland
Aarhus
Score01234
0
8.29%
8.84%
4.72%
1.68%
0.45%
1
11.79%
12.59%
6.72%
2.39%
0.64%
2
8.39%
8.96%
4.78%
1.70%
0.45%
3
3.98%
4.25%
2.27%
0.81%
0.22%
4
1.42%
1.51%
0.81%
0.29%
0.08%
5
0.40%
0.43%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Midtjylland
1-011.79%
2-08.39%
2-18.96%
3-03.98%
3-14.25%
3-22.27%
4-01.42%
4-11.51%
4-20.81%
4-30.29%
5-00.40%
5-10.43%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.29%
1-112.59%
2-24.78%
3-30.81%
Aarhus
0-18.84%
0-24.72%
1-26.72%
0-31.68%
1-32.39%
2-31.70%
0-40.45%
1-40.64%
2-40.45%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Midtjylland
Aarhus
Score0123
0
31.56%
15.60%
3.85%
0.64%
1
20.80%
10.28%
2.54%
0.42%
2
6.85%
3.39%
0.84%
0.14%
3
1.51%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.25%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Midtjylland
1-020.80%
2-06.85%
2-13.39%
3-01.51%
3-10.74%
3-20.18%
4-00.25%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-031.56%
1-110.28%
2-20.84%
Aarhus
0-115.60%
0-23.85%
1-22.54%
0-30.64%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%