Aarhus at Brondby

Updated

Aarhus

36.4%27.8%35.8%
Aarhus WinDrawBrondby Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.18
1Final Score 1

Brondby

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Randers-110
W 2-0 at Lyngby+125
T 1-1 vs FC Copenhagen+240
L 1-2 at Viborg+175
T 1-1 at Randers+125
Brondby
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Nordsjaelland+145
T 2-2 at Randers-105
W 0-1 vs Viborg-185
W 3-0 at Hvidovre IF-220
L 3-2 vs FC Copenhagen+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+298+282+280+300+300+300+300+319.9
Brondby-105+109+105-104-104-104+109+105.9
Draw+261+233+225+245+245+245+245+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+315----+315+315+319.9
Brondby-115-----110-110+105.9
Draw+260----+250+250+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 40.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +289 to +282
Brondby ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 50.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 20.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +325 to +315
No Steam Moves On Brondby ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-114o2-146o2¼-115o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-120o2-146o2¼-109
Underu2½-104u2+124u2¼-105u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-109
Under-----u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.26%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.37%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.03%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.89%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 030.23%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.63%
Exactly 38.63%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Brondby
Exactly 030.63%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.23%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 057.47%
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 28.82%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brondby
Exactly 057.82%
Exactly 131.68%
Exactly 28.68%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals15.39%
Wins by 3+ goals5.03%
Wins by 4+ goals1.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Brondby
Wins by 2+ goals14.99%
Wins by 3+ goals4.85%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Brondby
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal21.00%
Wins by 2 goals10.36%
Wins by 3 goals3.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Brondby
Wins by 1 goal20.77%
Wins by 2 goals10.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.60%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.74%9.26%
1.568.71%31.29%
2.542.49%57.51%
3.521.70%78.30%
4.59.33%90.67%
5.53.45%96.55%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.77%30.23%
1.533.60%66.40%
2.511.97%88.03%
3.53.34%96.66%

Total Goals Brondby Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.37%30.63%
1.533.13%66.87%
2.511.69%88.31%
3.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.77%33.23%
1.530.16%69.84%
2.59.99%90.01%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Brondby
Score012345
0
9.26%
10.96%
6.48%
2.56%
0.76%
0.18%
1
11.08%
13.11%
7.75%
3.06%
0.90%
0.21%
2
6.62%
7.84%
4.64%
1.83%
0.54%
0.13%
3
2.64%
3.13%
1.85%
0.73%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.79%
0.93%
0.55%
0.22%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.19%
0.22%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-011.08%
2-06.62%
2-17.84%
3-02.64%
3-13.13%
3-21.85%
4-00.79%
4-10.93%
4-20.55%
4-30.22%
5-00.19%
5-10.22%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.26%
1-113.11%
2-24.64%
3-30.73%
Brondby
0-110.96%
0-26.48%
1-27.75%
0-32.56%
1-33.06%
2-31.83%
0-40.76%
1-40.90%
2-40.54%
3-40.22%
0-50.18%
1-50.21%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Brondby
Score01234
0
33.23%
18.21%
4.99%
0.91%
0.12%
1
18.40%
10.08%
2.76%
0.50%
0.07%
2
5.10%
2.79%
0.76%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.94%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-018.40%
2-05.10%
2-12.79%
3-00.94%
3-10.52%
3-20.14%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-033.23%
1-110.08%
2-20.76%
Brondby
0-118.21%
0-24.99%
1-22.76%
0-30.91%
1-30.50%
2-30.14%
0-40.12%
Midtjylland at Hvidovre IF
Randers at Silkeborg