Aarhus at Midtjylland

Updated

Aarhus

14.8%20.4%64.8%
WinDrawMidtjylland Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.03
1Final Score 2

Midtjylland

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Nordsjaelland+450
L 2-3 at FC Copenhagen+825
L 2-7 at Nordsjaelland+460
T 2-2 vs Brondby+420
L 1-0 vs Midtjylland+290
Midtjylland
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Brondby+135
L 0-3 at Silkeborg+105
L 1-2 at Brondby+260
T 2-2 vs FC Copenhagen+190
W 1-0 at Aarhus+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+500+476+460+500+486+500+500+528.9
Midtjylland-185-176-180-187-194-187-176-164.3
Draw+300+336+310+335+335+335+336+355.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+580----+525+525+528.9
Midtjylland-230-----200-200-164.3
Draw+380----+350+350+355.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 10.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +529 to +486
Midtjylland ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 20.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +575 to +525
Midtjylland ML moved from -250 to -260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-139o2¾-112o2¾-107o2¾-107o2¾-107o2½-139o2¾+103
Underu2¾-105u2½+117u2¾-108u2¾-113u2¾-113u2¾-113u2¾-108u2¾-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+103
Under-----u2¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.64%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 416.06%
Exactly 64.42%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.22%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.23%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 042.84%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.39%
Exactly 34.35%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 013.17%
Exactly 126.70%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.29%
Exactly 49.27%
Exactly 53.76%
Exactly 61.27%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.42%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 067.54%
Exactly 126.51%
Exactly 25.20%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 039.11%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.23%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals4.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals40.19%
Wins by 3+ goals20.35%
Wins by 4+ goals8.51%
Wins by 5+ goals2.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Midtjylland
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal10.25%
Wins by 2 goals3.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals19.84%
Wins by 3 goals11.84%
Wins by 4 goals5.55%
Wins by 5 goals2.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.36%5.64%
1.578.14%21.86%
2.554.82%45.18%
3.532.48%67.52%
4.516.42%83.58%
5.57.18%92.82%
6.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.16%42.84%
1.520.84%79.16%
2.55.45%94.55%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.83%13.17%
1.560.14%39.86%
2.533.07%66.93%
3.514.79%85.21%
4.55.52%94.48%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.58%26.42%
1.538.42%61.58%
2.515.01%84.99%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Midtjylland
Score012345
0
5.64%
11.44%
11.59%
7.84%
3.97%
1.61%
1
4.78%
9.69%
9.83%
6.64%
3.37%
1.36%
2
2.03%
4.11%
4.16%
2.81%
1.43%
0.58%
3
0.57%
1.16%
1.18%
0.80%
0.40%
0.16%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.25%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
Aarhus
1-04.78%
2-02.03%
2-14.11%
3-00.57%
3-11.16%
3-21.18%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.25%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.64%
1-19.69%
2-24.16%
3-30.80%
Midtjylland
0-111.44%
0-211.59%
1-29.83%
0-37.84%
1-36.64%
2-32.81%
0-43.97%
1-43.37%
2-41.43%
3-40.40%
0-51.61%
1-51.36%
2-50.58%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Midtjylland
Score012345
0
26.42%
24.80%
11.64%
3.64%
0.85%
0.16%
1
10.37%
9.73%
4.57%
1.43%
0.34%
0.06%
2
2.03%
1.91%
0.90%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-010.37%
2-02.03%
2-11.91%
3-00.27%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.42%
1-19.73%
2-20.90%
Midtjylland
0-124.80%
0-211.64%
1-24.57%
0-33.64%
1-31.43%
2-30.28%
0-40.85%
1-40.34%
0-50.16%