Union Berlin at Stuttgart

Updated

Union Berlin

41.2%26.2%32.6%
Union Berlin WinDrawStuttgart Win
1.41Projected Goals 1.21
0Final Score 1

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
L 0-2 at Eintracht Frankfurt+335
W 1-2 vs Wolfsburg+130
W 0-2 vs FC Heidenheim-270
W 2-1 at Chemnitzer FC
L 1-2 at RB Leipzig+625
VfB Stuttgart
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+160
W 1-0 at FC Nurnberg-125
W 2-1 at Paderborn 07+135
W 0-6 vs Arminia Bielefeld
W 1-0 at Dresden-215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+250+412+380+355+355+355+412+391.6
Stuttgart+109-153-170-161-161-161-153-133.0
Draw+263+317+310+310+310+310+317+343.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+315---+385-+385+391.6
Stuttgart-160----195--195-133.0
Draw+270---+285-+285+343.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 60.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 20.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +355 to +345
Stuttgart ML moved from -169 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 60.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +315 to +300
Stuttgart ML moved from -155 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-129o3+110o2¾-118o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-118o2¾-113
Underu2½+109u3-130u2¾-102u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+104u3-130u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o2½-135-o2½-135o2¾-113
Underu3-140---u2½+105-u2½+105u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.32%
Exactly 225.02%
Exactly 414.26%
Exactly 63.25%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.13%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.46%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 024.65%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 029.68%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.80%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 052.29%
Exactly 133.90%
Exactly 210.99%
Exactly 32.38%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 056.98%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals19.38%
Wins by 3+ goals7.16%
Wins by 4+ goals2.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 2+ goals13.64%
Wins by 3+ goals4.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals12.21%
Wins by 3 goals5.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 1 goal18.92%
Wins by 2 goals9.19%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.68%7.32%
1.573.55%26.45%
2.548.54%51.46%
3.526.73%73.27%
4.512.47%87.53%
5.55.02%94.98%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.35%24.65%
1.540.83%59.17%
2.516.66%83.34%
3.55.38%94.62%
4.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals VfB Stuttgart Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.32%29.68%
1.534.27%65.73%
2.512.37%87.63%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.20%29.80%
1.534.13%65.87%
2.512.29%87.71%
3.53.47%96.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Score012345
0
7.32%
8.89%
5.40%
2.19%
0.66%
0.16%
1
10.25%
12.44%
7.56%
3.06%
0.93%
0.23%
2
7.17%
8.71%
5.29%
2.14%
0.65%
0.16%
3
3.35%
4.07%
2.47%
1.00%
0.30%
0.07%
4
1.17%
1.42%
0.87%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.33%
0.40%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-010.25%
2-07.17%
2-18.71%
3-03.35%
3-14.07%
3-22.47%
4-01.17%
4-11.42%
4-20.87%
4-30.35%
5-00.33%
5-10.40%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-07.32%
1-112.44%
2-25.29%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
VfB Stuttgart
0-18.89%
0-25.40%
1-27.56%
0-32.19%
1-33.06%
2-32.14%
0-40.66%
1-40.93%
2-40.65%
3-40.30%
0-50.16%
1-50.23%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Score01234
0
29.80%
16.76%
4.71%
0.88%
0.12%
1
19.32%
10.87%
3.06%
0.57%
0.08%
2
6.26%
3.52%
0.99%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.35%
0.76%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.22%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-019.32%
2-06.26%
2-13.52%
3-01.35%
3-10.76%
3-20.21%
4-00.22%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-029.80%
1-110.87%
2-20.99%
VfB Stuttgart
0-116.76%
0-24.71%
1-23.06%
0-30.88%
1-30.57%
2-30.19%
0-40.12%