St. Pauli at RB Leipzig

Updated

FC St. Pauli

6.5%11.4%82.1%
WinDrawRB Leipzig Win
0.78Projected Goals 3.05
2Final Score 4

RB Leipzig

Last Games

FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Dusseldorf-130
W 1-2 vs Schalke 04-235
L 1-2 at Freiburg+575
L 1-2 at Union Berlin+400
RB Leipzig
Money Line
L 0-1 at Wolfsburg-170
W 3-2 at SV Wehen Wiesbaden
W 0-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+105
W 5-1 at Freiburg-115
W 0-2 vs Dortmund-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+750+409+420+375+375+375+420+413.2
RB Leipzig-360-141-170-152-152-152-141-126.4
Draw+440+287+280+275+275+275+287+305.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
St. Pauli+675---+525-+525+413.2
RB Leipzig-365----260--260-126.4
Draw+365---+310-+310+305.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 10.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +419 to +409
RB Leipzig ML moved from -192 to -200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Pauli: 0.0%
RB Leipzig: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Pauli: 80.0%
RB Leipzig: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Pauli ML moved from +675 to +525
No Steam Moves On RB Leipzig ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o2½-128o2½-122o2¾+104o2¾+104o2¾+104o2½-122o2¾+113
Underu3+102u2½+109u2½+102u2¾-124u2¾-124u2¾-124u2¾-124u2¾-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110---o2½-140-o2½-140o2¾+113
Underu3-120---u2½+110-u2½+110u2¾-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.16%
Exactly 215.90%
Exactly 419.47%
Exactly 69.53%
Exactly 82.50%
Exactly 100.41%
 
Exactly 18.30%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 514.92%
Exactly 75.22%
Exactly 91.07%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 045.57%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 214.07%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - RB Leipzig
Exactly 04.75%
Exactly 114.47%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.06%
Exactly 510.40%
Exactly 65.28%
Exactly 72.30%
Exactly 80.88%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.95%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 47.01%
Exactly 60.74%
 
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 315.79%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 069.50%
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 24.60%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - RB Leipzig
Exactly 024.39%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals1.75%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 2+ goals63.61%
Wins by 3+ goals42.72%
Wins by 4+ goals24.73%
Wins by 5+ goals12.39%
Wins by 6+ goals5.41%
Wins by 7+ goals2.04%
Wins by 8+ goals0.64%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal4.73%
Wins by 2 goals1.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
RB Leipzig
Wins by 1 goal18.35%
Wins by 2 goals20.89%
Wins by 3 goals17.99%
Wins by 4 goals12.33%
Wins by 5 goals6.99%
Wins by 6 goals3.36%
Wins by 7 goals1.40%
Wins by 8 goals0.51%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.84%2.16%
1.589.54%10.46%
2.573.64%26.36%
3.553.32%46.68%
4.533.86%66.14%
5.518.93%81.07%
6.59.40%90.60%
7.54.18%95.82%
8.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.43%45.57%
1.518.61%81.39%
2.54.54%95.46%

Total Goals RB Leipzig Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.25%4.75%
1.580.78%19.22%
2.558.73%41.27%
3.536.33%63.67%
4.519.27%80.73%
5.58.87%91.13%
6.53.59%96.41%
7.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.05%16.95%
1.552.96%47.04%
2.526.26%73.74%
3.510.47%89.53%
4.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Score012345
0
2.16%
6.60%
10.05%
10.21%
7.77%
4.74%
1
1.70%
5.18%
7.90%
8.02%
6.11%
3.72%
2
0.67%
2.04%
3.10%
3.15%
2.40%
1.46%
3
0.18%
0.53%
0.81%
0.83%
0.63%
0.38%
FC St. Pauli
1-01.70%
2-00.67%
2-12.04%
3-00.18%
3-10.53%
3-20.81%
Draw
0-02.16%
1-15.18%
2-23.10%
3-30.83%
4-40.12%
RB Leipzig
0-16.60%
0-210.05%
1-27.90%
0-310.21%
1-38.02%
2-33.15%
0-47.77%
1-46.11%
2-42.40%
3-40.63%
0-54.74%
1-53.72%
2-51.46%
3-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Score0123456
0
16.95%
23.92%
16.87%
7.93%
2.80%
0.79%
0.19%
1
6.17%
8.70%
6.14%
2.89%
1.02%
0.29%
0.07%
2
1.12%
1.58%
1.12%
0.53%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.19%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
FC St. Pauli
1-06.17%
2-01.12%
2-11.58%
3-00.14%
3-10.19%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-016.95%
1-18.70%
2-21.12%
RB Leipzig
0-123.92%
0-216.87%
1-26.14%
0-37.93%
1-32.89%
2-30.53%
0-42.80%
1-41.02%
2-40.19%
0-50.79%
1-50.29%
0-60.19%