Freiburg at Arminia

Updated

Freiburg

56.1%22.8%21.1%
Freiburg WinDrawArminia Win
1.83Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 3

Arminia Bielefeld

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Hamburger SV-240
W 4-0 at VfL Osnabruck-245
L 3-1 vs Paderborn 07-235
L 5-1 vs RB Leipzig+330
W 2-1 at Bayern Munich+1600
Arminia Bielefeld
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Union Berlin+390
W 0-2 vs Hannover 96+225
L 4-3 vs Hamburger SV+390
W 1-4 vs VfL Bochum+275
L 0-6 at VfB Stuttgart

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg-150-126-135-165-165-165-126-130.8
Arminia+408+363+340+370+370+370+370+416.3
Draw+312+276+255+280+280+280+280+317.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg-145----185-130-130-130.8
Arminia+385---+370+360+370+416.3
Draw+295---+275+275+275+317.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arminia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Arminia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 20.0%
Arminia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from -146 to -165
Arminia ML moved from +400 to +370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arminia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Arminia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 10.0%
Arminia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from -145 to -175
Arminia ML moved from +390 to +360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o2½-108o2½-105o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu3-124u2½-109u2½-115u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-109u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120---o2½-120o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½+100---u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+113
The Under moved from u2¾-128 to u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.0%
 
No46.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.73%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 415.96%
Exactly 64.35%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.38%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.13%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 016.05%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 316.38%
Exactly 47.49%
Exactly 52.74%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Arminia Bielefeld
Exactly 035.68%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.95%
Exactly 36.51%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.61%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 310.29%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 042.87%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.38%
Exactly 34.34%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arminia Bielefeld
Exactly 062.06%
Exactly 129.61%
Exactly 27.06%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals32.03%
Wins by 3+ goals14.81%
Wins by 4+ goals5.63%
Wins by 5+ goals1.78%
Arminia Bielefeld
Wins by 2+ goals7.52%
Wins by 3+ goals2.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.99%
Wins by 2 goals17.22%
Wins by 3 goals9.17%
Wins by 4 goals3.85%
Wins by 5 goals1.33%
Arminia Bielefeld
Wins by 1 goal13.52%
Wins by 2 goals5.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.27%5.73%
1.577.89%22.11%
2.554.47%45.53%
3.532.14%67.86%
4.516.17%83.83%
5.57.04%92.96%
6.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.95%16.05%
1.554.58%45.42%
2.527.72%72.28%
3.511.34%88.66%
4.53.86%96.14%
5.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Arminia Bielefeld Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.32%35.68%
1.527.55%72.45%
2.58.60%91.40%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.39%26.61%
1.538.17%61.83%
2.514.85%85.15%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld
Score01234
0
5.73%
5.90%
3.04%
1.04%
0.27%
1
10.48%
10.80%
5.56%
1.91%
0.49%
2
9.58%
9.88%
5.09%
1.75%
0.45%
3
5.84%
6.02%
3.10%
1.07%
0.27%
4
2.67%
2.75%
1.42%
0.49%
0.13%
5
0.98%
1.01%
0.52%
0.18%
0.05%
Freiburg
1-010.48%
2-09.58%
2-19.88%
3-05.84%
3-16.02%
3-23.10%
4-02.67%
4-12.75%
4-21.42%
4-30.49%
5-00.98%
5-11.01%
5-20.52%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.73%
1-110.80%
2-25.09%
3-31.07%
4-40.13%
Arminia Bielefeld
0-15.90%
0-23.04%
1-25.56%
0-31.04%
1-31.91%
2-31.75%
0-40.27%
1-40.49%
2-40.45%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Arminia Bielefeld
Score0123
0
26.61%
12.69%
3.03%
0.48%
1
22.53%
10.75%
2.56%
0.41%
2
9.54%
4.55%
1.09%
0.17%
3
2.69%
1.29%
0.31%
0.05%
4
0.57%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-022.53%
2-09.54%
2-14.55%
3-02.69%
3-11.29%
3-20.31%
4-00.57%
4-10.27%
Draw
0-026.61%
1-110.75%
2-21.09%
Arminia Bielefeld
0-112.69%
0-23.03%
1-22.56%
0-30.48%
1-30.41%
2-30.17%