Mainz 05 at Erzgebirge Aue

Updated

Mainz 05

72.4%16.3%11.3%
Mainz 05 WinDrawWin
2.49Projected Goals 0.88
3Final Score 0

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
L 1-3 at VfL Bochum+105
W 2-3 vs Arminia Bielefeld-230
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05-195-293-325-345---345-293-
Erzgebirge Aue+460+800+675+600--+600+800-
Draw+330+444+420+410--+410+444-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05------
Erzgebirge Aue------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Erzgebirge Aue: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Erzgebirge Aue: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Erzgebirge Aue: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from -315 to -335
Erzgebirge Aue ML moved from +630 to +600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-134o3¼-105o3¼-114--o3¼-114o3-134-
Underu3-118u3+114u3¼-115u3¼-106--u3¼-106u3¼-106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120---o3-120-o3-120-
Underu3-110---u3-110-u3-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.8%
 
No46.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.43%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 418.49%
Exactly 67.00%
Exactly 81.42%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.58%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 512.46%
Exactly 73.37%
Exactly 90.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 120.67%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 413.27%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 70.97%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - FC Erzgebirge Aue
Exactly 041.36%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.12%
Exactly 34.74%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.00%
Exactly 225.58%
Exactly 45.19%
Exactly 60.42%
 
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 313.31%
Exactly 51.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC Erzgebirge Aue
Exactly 066.45%
Exactly 127.16%
Exactly 25.55%
Exactly 30.76%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals50.24%
Wins by 3+ goals29.33%
Wins by 4+ goals14.46%
Wins by 5+ goals6.08%
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Wins by 2+ goals3.43%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
FC Erzgebirge Aue
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal22.08%
Wins by 2 goals20.90%
Wins by 3 goals14.87%
Wins by 4 goals8.39%
Wins by 5 goals3.90%
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Wins by 1 goal7.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.57%3.43%
1.584.99%15.01%
2.565.47%34.53%
3.543.53%56.47%
4.525.05%74.95%
5.512.58%87.42%
6.55.58%94.42%
7.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.03%28.97%
2.545.32%54.68%
3.523.99%76.01%
4.510.73%89.27%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals FC Erzgebirge Aue Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.64%41.36%
1.522.13%77.87%
2.56.01%93.99%
3.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.00%21.00%
1.546.23%53.77%
2.520.66%79.34%
3.57.35%92.65%
4.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Score0123
0
3.43%
3.03%
1.34%
0.39%
1
8.55%
7.55%
3.33%
0.98%
2
10.63%
9.39%
4.14%
1.22%
3
8.82%
7.79%
3.44%
1.01%
4
5.49%
4.84%
2.14%
0.63%
5
2.73%
2.41%
1.06%
0.31%
Mainz 05
1-08.55%
2-010.63%
2-19.39%
3-08.82%
3-17.79%
3-23.44%
4-05.49%
4-14.84%
4-22.14%
4-30.63%
5-02.73%
5-12.41%
5-21.06%
5-30.31%
Draw
0-03.43%
1-17.55%
2-24.14%
3-31.01%
4-40.14%
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0-13.03%
0-21.34%
1-23.33%
0-30.39%
1-30.98%
2-31.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Score0123
0
21.00%
8.58%
1.75%
0.24%
1
24.19%
9.89%
2.02%
0.28%
2
13.93%
5.70%
1.16%
0.16%
3
5.35%
2.19%
0.45%
0.06%
4
1.54%
0.63%
0.13%
0.02%
5
0.36%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-024.19%
2-013.93%
2-15.70%
3-05.35%
3-12.19%
3-20.45%
4-01.54%
4-10.63%
4-20.13%
5-00.36%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-021.00%
1-19.89%
2-21.16%
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0-18.58%
0-21.75%
1-22.02%
0-30.24%
1-30.28%
2-30.16%