Werder Bremen at Paderborn 07

Updated

Werder Bremen

41.2%25.5%33.3%
Werder Bremen WinDrawPaderborn 07 Win
1.45Projected Goals 1.28
4Final Score 5

Paderborn 07

Last Games

Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 0-2 at VfL Osnabruck-125
L 2-1 vs RB Leipzig+900
W 1-0 at SSV Jahn Regensburg+100
Paderborn 07
Money Line
L 1-2 at Dresden+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+129+156+150+155-+155+156+168.4
Paderborn 07+196+158+150+147-+147+158+164.3
Draw+277+281+260+300-+300+300+301.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+100---+100-+100+168.4
Paderborn 07+170---+170-+170+164.3
Draw+280---+280-+280+301.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paderborn 07: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 20.0%
Paderborn 07: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Paderborn 07: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +140 to +125
Paderborn 07 ML moved from +162 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paderborn 07: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Paderborn 07: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Paderborn 07: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Werder Bremen ML
No Steam Moves On Paderborn 07 ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-107o3-127o3¼-102o3-125-o3-125o3-125o3-109
Underu3-109u3+107u3¼-118u3+105-u3+105u3¼-118u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130---o3½+110-o3½+110o3-109
Underu3+100---u3½-140-u3½-140u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-145 to o3½-145
The Under moved from u3½+115 to u3½-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.3%
 
No44.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.50%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 415.11%
Exactly 63.76%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.77%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.26%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 023.38%
Exactly 133.98%
Exactly 224.69%
Exactly 311.96%
Exactly 44.35%
Exactly 51.26%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Paderborn 07
Exactly 027.82%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.21%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 051.02%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 211.55%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paderborn 07
Exactly 055.30%
Exactly 132.76%
Exactly 29.70%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals19.71%
Wins by 3+ goals7.46%
Wins by 4+ goals2.27%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
Paderborn 07
Wins by 2+ goals14.36%
Wins by 3+ goals4.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Werder Bremen
Paderborn 07
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal21.43%
Wins by 2 goals12.25%
Wins by 3 goals5.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%
Paderborn 07
Wins by 1 goal18.86%
Wins by 2 goals9.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.50%6.50%
1.575.72%24.28%
2.551.44%48.56%
3.529.32%70.68%
4.514.20%85.80%
5.55.94%94.06%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.62%23.38%
1.542.64%57.36%
2.517.95%82.05%
3.55.99%94.01%
4.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Paderborn 07 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.18%27.82%
1.536.59%63.41%
2.513.82%86.18%
3.54.11%95.89%
4.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.79%28.21%
1.536.08%63.92%
2.513.50%86.50%
3.53.97%96.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Werder Bremen
Paderborn 07
Score012345
0
6.50%
8.32%
5.32%
2.27%
0.73%
0.19%
1
9.45%
12.09%
7.74%
3.30%
1.06%
0.27%
2
6.87%
8.79%
5.62%
2.40%
0.77%
0.20%
3
3.33%
4.26%
2.72%
1.16%
0.37%
0.10%
4
1.21%
1.55%
0.99%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.35%
0.45%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Werder Bremen
1-09.45%
2-06.87%
2-18.79%
3-03.33%
3-14.26%
3-22.72%
4-01.21%
4-11.55%
4-20.99%
4-30.42%
5-00.35%
5-10.45%
5-20.29%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.50%
1-112.09%
2-25.62%
3-31.16%
4-40.14%
Paderborn 07
0-18.32%
0-25.32%
1-27.74%
0-32.27%
1-33.30%
2-32.40%
0-40.73%
1-41.06%
2-40.77%
3-40.37%
0-50.19%
1-50.27%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Werder Bremen
Paderborn 07
Score01234
0
28.21%
16.72%
4.95%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.99%
11.25%
3.33%
0.66%
0.10%
2
6.39%
3.78%
1.12%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.43%
0.85%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.24%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Werder Bremen
1-018.99%
2-06.39%
2-13.78%
3-01.43%
3-10.85%
3-20.25%
4-00.24%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-028.21%
1-111.25%
2-21.12%
Paderborn 07
0-116.72%
0-24.95%
1-23.33%
0-30.98%
1-30.66%
2-30.22%
0-40.14%