Stoke City at Watford

Updated

Stoke City

20.3%20.2%59.5%
Stoke City WinDrawWatford Win
0.67Projected Goals 1.97
3Final Score 1

Watford

Last Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Doncaster Rovers-275
W 1-2 vs Fleetwood Town-190
Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
13.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+285+315+265+328+310+265+328+342.9
Watford-104-110-109-105-112-109-105+101.1
Draw+235+235+235+247+248+235+248+261.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+280---+280-+280+342.9
Watford-120----120--120+101.1
Draw+210---+210-+210+261.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +325 to +315
Watford ML moved from -114 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½+118o2¼-111o2¼-112-o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-105
Underu2½-143u2½-143u2¼-109u2¼-103-u2¼-109u2½-143u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120---o2½+115-o2½+115o2¼-105
Underu2½-150---u2½-145-u2½-145u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.13%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 414.45%
Exactly 63.36%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.83%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.63%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 051.07%
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 211.53%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 013.96%
Exactly 127.49%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.76%
Exactly 48.74%
Exactly 53.44%
Exactly 61.13%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.45%
Exactly 222.01%
Exactly 42.74%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.97%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 073.27%
Exactly 122.79%
Exactly 23.55%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 040.19%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.70%
Exactly 35.07%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals2.98%
Wins by 3+ goals0.54%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals42.32%
Wins by 3+ goals21.31%
Wins by 4+ goals8.81%
Wins by 5+ goals3.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.85%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Watford
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal8.74%
Wins by 2 goals2.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.61%
Wins by 2 goals21.02%
Wins by 3 goals12.50%
Wins by 4 goals5.78%
Wins by 5 goals2.18%
Wins by 6 goals0.69%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.87%7.13%
1.574.03%25.97%
2.549.17%50.83%
3.527.28%72.72%
4.512.84%87.16%
5.55.21%94.79%
6.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.93%51.07%
1.514.61%85.39%
2.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.04%13.96%
1.558.54%41.46%
2.531.48%68.52%
3.513.73%86.27%
4.54.99%95.01%
5.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.55%29.45%
1.534.55%65.45%
2.512.54%87.46%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
7.13%
14.04%
13.82%
9.07%
4.46%
1.76%
1
4.79%
9.43%
9.29%
6.09%
3.00%
1.18%
2
1.61%
3.17%
3.12%
2.05%
1.01%
0.40%
3
0.36%
0.71%
0.70%
0.46%
0.23%
0.09%
Stoke City
1-04.79%
2-01.61%
2-13.17%
3-00.36%
3-10.71%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-07.13%
1-19.43%
2-23.12%
3-30.46%
Watford
0-114.04%
0-213.82%
1-29.29%
0-39.07%
1-36.09%
2-32.05%
0-44.46%
1-43.00%
2-41.01%
3-40.23%
0-51.76%
1-51.18%
2-50.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
29.45%
26.84%
12.23%
3.72%
0.85%
0.15%
1
9.16%
8.35%
3.81%
1.16%
0.26%
0.05%
2
1.42%
1.30%
0.59%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-09.16%
2-01.42%
2-11.30%
3-00.15%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-029.45%
1-18.35%
2-20.59%
Watford
0-126.84%
0-212.23%
1-23.81%
0-33.72%
1-31.16%
2-30.18%
0-40.85%
1-40.26%
0-50.15%