Chelsea at Brentford

Updated

Chelsea

57.6%20.2%22.2%
Chelsea WinDrawBrentford Win
2.02Projected Goals 0.78
2Final Score 0

Brentford

Last Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Southampton-230
W 3-4 vs Aston Villa-270
Brentford
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+115
W 0-7 vs Oldham Athletic
W 1-3 vs Forest Green Rovers-320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-154+131+185+188+182+185+188+189.6
Brentford+425+220+175+181+169+175+220+192.7
Draw+280+212+200+210+200+200+212+219.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-145---+110+185+185+189.6
Brentford+450---+210+170+210+192.7
Draw+260---+200+205+205+219.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 40.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +150 to +131
Brentford ML moved from +192 to +181

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 40.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +165 to +155
Brentford ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2-145o2¼-101o2½+128-o2¼-101o2-145o2¼+109
Underu2½-118u2+120u2¼-119u2½-143-u2¼-119u2½-143u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100---o2½+115o2½+130o2½+130o2¼+109
Underu2½-120---u2½-145u2½-150u2½-145u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-143 to u2+120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.11%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 415.54%
Exactly 64.05%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.08%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.69%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 013.29%
Exactly 126.82%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.20%
Exactly 49.18%
Exactly 53.71%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 045.96%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 213.89%
Exactly 33.60%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.41%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.90%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 039.29%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.15%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 069.78%
Exactly 125.11%
Exactly 24.52%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals41.37%
Wins by 3+ goals21.01%
Wins by 4+ goals8.80%
Wins by 5+ goals3.07%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals3.85%
Wins by 3+ goals0.83%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.89%
Wins by 2 goals20.36%
Wins by 3 goals12.21%
Wins by 4 goals5.73%
Wins by 5 goals2.20%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal9.59%
Wins by 2 goals3.02%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.89%6.11%
1.576.81%23.19%
2.552.94%47.06%
3.530.70%69.30%
4.515.16%84.84%
5.56.47%93.53%
6.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.71%13.29%
1.559.88%40.12%
2.532.82%67.18%
3.514.61%85.39%
4.55.43%94.57%
5.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.04%45.96%
1.518.31%81.69%
2.54.42%95.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.59%27.41%
1.537.11%62.89%
2.514.15%85.85%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brentford
Score0123
0
6.11%
4.75%
1.85%
0.48%
1
12.33%
9.58%
3.72%
0.97%
2
12.44%
9.67%
3.76%
0.97%
3
8.37%
6.50%
2.53%
0.65%
4
4.22%
3.28%
1.28%
0.33%
5
1.70%
1.32%
0.51%
0.13%
Chelsea
1-012.33%
2-012.44%
2-19.67%
3-08.37%
3-16.50%
3-22.53%
4-04.22%
4-13.28%
4-21.28%
4-30.33%
5-01.70%
5-11.32%
5-20.51%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.11%
1-19.58%
2-23.76%
3-30.65%
Brentford
0-14.75%
0-21.85%
1-23.72%
0-30.48%
1-30.97%
2-30.97%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brentford
Score0123
0
27.41%
9.87%
1.78%
0.21%
1
25.61%
9.22%
1.66%
0.20%
2
11.96%
4.31%
0.77%
0.09%
3
3.73%
1.34%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.87%
0.31%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-025.61%
2-011.96%
2-14.31%
3-03.73%
3-11.34%
3-20.24%
4-00.87%
4-10.31%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-027.41%
1-19.22%
2-20.77%
Brentford
0-19.87%
0-21.78%
1-21.66%
0-30.21%
1-30.20%