Swindon Town at Crawley Town

Updated

Swindon Town

41.1%26.5%32.4%
Swindon Town WinDrawCrawley Town Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 4

Crawley Town

Last Games

Swindon Town
Money Line
L 1-4 at Peterborough United+360
L 0-2 at Walsall+230
L 1-3 at Cambridge United+255
Crawley Town
Money Line
L 1-2 at Exeter City
L 1-3 at Burnley
W 0-2 vs Fulham
W 0-1 vs Bristol Rovers+195
L 10-9 vs Gillingham+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swindon Town+237+203+195+194+166+166+203+192.4
Crawley Town+111+127+125+103+119+119+127+140.7
Draw+271+271+245+275+275+275+275+312.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swindon Town+215---+200-+200+192.4
Crawley Town-115----110--110+140.7
Draw+265---+270-+270+312.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swindon Town: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swindon Town: 40.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swindon Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swindon Town: 20.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swindon Town ML moved from +174 to +166
No Steam Moves On Crawley Town ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swindon Town: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swindon Town: 50.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swindon Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swindon Town: 20.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swindon Town ML moved from +215 to +200
No Steam Moves On Crawley Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3-107o3-110o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-107o3-104
Underu3-122u3-110u3-110u3-105u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-115-o3-115o3-104
Underu3-125---u3-115-u3-115u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.68%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 413.89%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.71%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 57.13%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Swindon Town
Exactly 025.26%
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 310.97%
Exactly 43.77%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Crawley Town
Exactly 030.40%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.47%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swindon Town
Exactly 052.89%
Exactly 133.69%
Exactly 210.73%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crawley Town
Exactly 057.62%
Exactly 131.77%
Exactly 28.76%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swindon Town
Wins by 2+ goals19.13%
Wins by 3+ goals6.99%
Wins by 4+ goals2.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Crawley Town
Wins by 2+ goals13.41%
Wins by 3+ goals4.31%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Swindon Town
Crawley Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swindon Town
Wins by 1 goal21.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Crawley Town
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals9.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.32%7.68%
1.572.61%27.39%
2.547.32%52.68%
3.525.68%74.32%
4.511.79%88.21%
5.54.66%95.34%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Swindon Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.74%25.26%
1.539.98%60.02%
2.516.07%83.93%
3.55.10%94.90%
4.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Crawley Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.60%30.40%
1.533.40%66.60%
2.511.85%88.15%
3.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.53%30.47%
1.533.32%66.68%
2.511.80%88.20%
3.53.28%96.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Score012345
0
7.68%
9.14%
5.44%
2.16%
0.64%
0.15%
1
10.57%
12.58%
7.49%
2.97%
0.89%
0.21%
2
7.27%
8.65%
5.15%
2.05%
0.61%
0.15%
3
3.33%
3.97%
2.36%
0.94%
0.28%
0.07%
4
1.15%
1.37%
0.81%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.32%
0.38%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Swindon Town
1-010.57%
2-07.27%
2-18.65%
3-03.33%
3-13.97%
3-22.36%
4-01.15%
4-11.37%
4-20.81%
4-30.32%
5-00.32%
5-10.38%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-07.68%
1-112.58%
2-25.15%
3-30.94%
Crawley Town
0-19.14%
0-25.44%
1-27.49%
0-32.16%
1-32.97%
2-32.05%
0-40.64%
1-40.89%
2-40.61%
3-40.28%
0-50.15%
1-50.21%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Score01234
0
30.47%
16.80%
4.63%
0.85%
0.12%
1
19.41%
10.70%
2.95%
0.54%
0.07%
2
6.18%
3.41%
0.94%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.31%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.21%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Swindon Town
1-019.41%
2-06.18%
2-13.41%
3-01.31%
3-10.72%
3-20.20%
4-00.21%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-030.47%
1-110.70%
2-20.94%
Crawley Town
0-116.80%
0-24.63%
1-22.95%
0-30.85%
1-30.54%
2-30.17%
0-40.12%
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