Swindon Town at Crawley Town

Updated

Swindon Town

41.1%26.5%32.4%
Swindon Town WinDrawCrawley Town Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 4

Crawley Town

Last Games

Swindon Town
Money Line
L 1-4 at Peterborough United+360
L 0-2 at Walsall+230
L 1-3 at Cambridge United+255
Crawley Town
Money Line
L 1-2 at Exeter City
L 1-3 at Burnley
W 0-2 vs Fulham
W 0-1 vs Bristol Rovers+195
L 10-9 vs Gillingham+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swindon Town+237+203+195+194+166+166+203+192.4
Crawley Town+111+127+125+103+119+119+127+140.7
Draw+271+271+245+275+275+275+275+312.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swindon Town+215---+200-+200+192.4
Crawley Town-115----110--110+140.7
Draw+265---+270-+270+312.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swindon Town: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swindon Town: 40.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swindon Town: 20.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swindon Town ML moved from +174 to +166
No Steam Moves On Crawley Town ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swindon Town: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swindon Town: 50.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swindon Town: 20.0%
Crawley Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swindon Town ML moved from +215 to +200
No Steam Moves On Crawley Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o3-107o3-110o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-107o3-104
Underu3-122u3-110u3-110u3-105u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105---o3-115-o3-115o3-104
Underu3-125---u3-115-u3-115u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.0%
 
No48.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.68%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 413.89%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.71%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 57.13%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Swindon Town
Exactly 025.26%
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 310.97%
Exactly 43.77%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Crawley Town
Exactly 030.40%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.55%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.47%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swindon Town
Exactly 052.89%
Exactly 133.69%
Exactly 210.73%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crawley Town
Exactly 057.62%
Exactly 131.77%
Exactly 28.76%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swindon Town
Wins by 2+ goals19.13%
Wins by 3+ goals6.99%
Wins by 4+ goals2.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Crawley Town
Wins by 2+ goals13.41%
Wins by 3+ goals4.31%
Wins by 4+ goals1.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Swindon Town
Crawley Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swindon Town
Wins by 1 goal21.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Crawley Town
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals9.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.32%7.68%
1.572.61%27.39%
2.547.32%52.68%
3.525.68%74.32%
4.511.79%88.21%
5.54.66%95.34%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Swindon Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.74%25.26%
1.539.98%60.02%
2.516.07%83.93%
3.55.10%94.90%
4.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Crawley Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.60%30.40%
1.533.40%66.60%
2.511.85%88.15%
3.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.53%30.47%
1.533.32%66.68%
2.511.80%88.20%
3.53.28%96.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Score012345
0
7.68%
9.14%
5.44%
2.16%
0.64%
0.15%
1
10.57%
12.58%
7.49%
2.97%
0.89%
0.21%
2
7.27%
8.65%
5.15%
2.05%
0.61%
0.15%
3
3.33%
3.97%
2.36%
0.94%
0.28%
0.07%
4
1.15%
1.37%
0.81%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.32%
0.38%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Swindon Town
1-010.57%
2-07.27%
2-18.65%
3-03.33%
3-13.97%
3-22.36%
4-01.15%
4-11.37%
4-20.81%
4-30.32%
5-00.32%
5-10.38%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-07.68%
1-112.58%
2-25.15%
3-30.94%
Crawley Town
0-19.14%
0-25.44%
1-27.49%
0-32.16%
1-32.97%
2-32.05%
0-40.64%
1-40.89%
2-40.61%
3-40.28%
0-50.15%
1-50.21%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Swindon Town
Crawley Town
Score01234
0
30.47%
16.80%
4.63%
0.85%
0.12%
1
19.41%
10.70%
2.95%
0.54%
0.07%
2
6.18%
3.41%
0.94%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.31%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.21%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Swindon Town
1-019.41%
2-06.18%
2-13.41%
3-01.31%
3-10.72%
3-20.20%
4-00.21%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-030.47%
1-110.70%
2-20.94%
Crawley Town
0-116.80%
0-24.63%
1-22.95%
0-30.85%
1-30.54%
2-30.17%
0-40.12%