Newport County at Luton Town

Updated

Newport County

10.4%18.3%71.4%
WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.14
3Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last Games

Newport County
Money Line
L 8-0 vs Southampton
W 1-0 at Ipswich Town+330
Luton Town
Money Line
L 0-3 at Stevenage-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newport County+475+402+370+340+581+340+581+434.3
Luton Town-180-138-140-152-221-152-138-125.9
Draw+310+283+270+260+346+260+346+291.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newport County+460---+365-+365+434.3
Luton Town-215----170--170-125.9
Draw+280---+250-+250+291.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newport County: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newport County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newport County: 90.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newport County ML moved from +350 to +340
Luton Town ML moved from -147 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newport County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newport County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newport County: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newport County ML moved from +475 to +365
Luton Town ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-118o2½-118o2½-124-o2½-124o2½-118o2½-108
Underu2¾-118u2½+100u2½-102u2½+104-u2½+104u2½+104u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130---o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-108
Underu2½+100---u2½-110-u2½-110u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.98%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 415.68%
Exactly 64.15%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.85%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 58.83%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Newport County
Exactly 051.01%
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 211.56%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 011.73%
Exactly 125.13%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 319.24%
Exactly 410.31%
Exactly 54.42%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 70.48%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.14%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 310.03%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newport County
Exactly 073.22%
Exactly 122.82%
Exactly 23.56%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 037.07%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newport County
Wins by 2+ goals2.59%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals46.74%
Wins by 3+ goals25.08%
Wins by 4+ goals11.17%
Wins by 5+ goals4.20%
Wins by 6+ goals1.34%
Wins by 7+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Newport County
Luton Town
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newport County
Wins by 1 goal7.71%
Wins by 2 goals2.12%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.58%
Wins by 2 goals21.66%
Wins by 3 goals13.91%
Wins by 4 goals6.97%
Wins by 5 goals2.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.99%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.02%5.98%
1.577.17%22.83%
2.553.45%46.55%
3.531.17%68.83%
4.515.49%84.51%
5.56.66%93.34%
6.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Newport County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.99%51.01%
1.514.65%85.35%
2.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.27%11.73%
1.563.14%36.86%
2.536.21%63.79%
3.516.96%83.04%
4.56.65%93.35%
5.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.86%27.14%
1.537.46%62.54%
2.514.38%85.62%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newport County
Luton Town
Score012345
0
5.98%
12.82%
13.74%
9.82%
5.26%
2.25%
1
4.03%
8.63%
9.25%
6.61%
3.54%
1.52%
2
1.36%
2.90%
3.11%
2.22%
1.19%
0.51%
3
0.30%
0.65%
0.70%
0.50%
0.27%
0.11%
Newport County
1-04.03%
2-01.36%
2-12.90%
3-00.30%
3-10.65%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-05.98%
1-18.63%
2-23.11%
3-30.50%
Luton Town
0-112.82%
0-213.74%
1-29.25%
0-39.82%
1-36.61%
2-32.22%
0-45.26%
1-43.54%
2-41.19%
3-40.27%
0-52.25%
1-51.52%
2-50.51%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Newport County
Luton Town
Score012345
0
27.14%
26.94%
13.37%
4.42%
1.10%
0.22%
1
8.46%
8.40%
4.17%
1.38%
0.34%
0.07%
2
1.32%
1.31%
0.65%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Newport County
1-08.46%
2-01.32%
2-11.31%
3-00.14%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-027.14%
1-18.40%
2-20.65%
Luton Town
0-126.94%
0-213.37%
1-24.17%
0-34.42%
1-31.38%
2-30.21%
0-41.10%
1-40.34%
0-50.22%