Stoke City at Carlisle United

Updated

Stoke City

67.8%19.6%12.6%
Stoke City WinDrawWin
2.06Projected Goals 0.76
2Final Score 0

Carlisle United

Last Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bournemouth+380
W 1-6 vs Rotherham United-245
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion-130
L 3-5 at Morecambe-160
L 2-1 vs Brentford+235
Carlisle United
Money Line
L 2-3 at Shrewsbury Town+320
L 0-1 at Sheffield United+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City-170-133-140-155-155-155-133-131.2
Carlisle United+460+371+380+400+400+400+400+435.5
Draw+290+290+260+280+280+280+290+307.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City-205----180--180-131.2
Carlisle United+425---+360-+360+435.5
Draw+280---+275-+275+307.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Carlisle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Carlisle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Carlisle United: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from -189 to -196
Carlisle United ML moved from +383 to +371

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Carlisle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 30.0%
Carlisle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Carlisle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Carlisle United ML moved from +425 to +360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-137o2¾-108o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+109
Underu2¾-115u2½+116u2¾-112u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-112u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140---o2½-140-o2½-140o2¾+109
Underu2½+110---u2½+110-u2½+110u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.95%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 415.71%
Exactly 64.17%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.79%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.87%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.19%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Carlisle United
Exactly 046.95%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.42%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.08%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 43.29%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.06%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Carlisle United
Exactly 070.46%
Exactly 124.67%
Exactly 24.32%
Exactly 30.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals43.06%
Wins by 3+ goals22.33%
Wins by 4+ goals9.60%
Wins by 5+ goals3.48%
Carlisle United
Wins by 2+ goals3.44%
Wins by 3+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Carlisle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal24.74%
Wins by 2 goals20.73%
Wins by 3 goals12.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.12%
Wins by 5 goals2.41%
Carlisle United
Wins by 1 goal9.05%
Wins by 2 goals2.76%
Wins by 3 goals0.60%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.05%5.95%
1.577.25%22.75%
2.553.56%46.44%
3.531.28%68.72%
4.515.57%84.43%
5.56.70%93.30%
6.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.14%38.86%
2.534.10%65.90%
3.515.48%84.52%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Carlisle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.05%46.95%
1.517.55%82.45%
2.54.13%95.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.92%27.08%
1.537.54%62.46%
2.514.43%85.57%
3.54.37%95.63%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Carlisle United
Score0123
0
5.95%
4.50%
1.70%
0.43%
1
12.29%
9.30%
3.51%
0.89%
2
12.69%
9.60%
3.63%
0.91%
3
8.74%
6.61%
2.50%
0.63%
4
4.51%
3.41%
1.29%
0.33%
5
1.86%
1.41%
0.53%
0.13%
Stoke City
1-012.29%
2-012.69%
2-19.60%
3-08.74%
3-16.61%
3-22.50%
4-04.51%
4-13.41%
4-21.29%
4-30.33%
5-01.86%
5-11.41%
5-20.53%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-05.95%
1-19.30%
2-23.63%
3-30.63%
Carlisle United
0-14.50%
0-21.70%
1-23.51%
0-30.43%
1-30.89%
2-30.91%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Carlisle United
Score0123
0
27.08%
9.48%
1.66%
0.19%
1
25.90%
9.07%
1.59%
0.19%
2
12.38%
4.33%
0.76%
0.09%
3
3.95%
1.38%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.94%
0.33%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-025.90%
2-012.38%
2-14.33%
3-03.95%
3-11.38%
3-20.24%
4-00.94%
4-10.33%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-027.08%
1-19.07%
2-20.76%
Carlisle United
0-19.48%
0-21.66%
1-21.59%
0-30.19%
1-30.19%