Swansea City at Brighton

Updated

Swansea City

19.5%19.1%61.5%
WinDrawBrighton Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.06
0Final Score 2

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Plymouth Argyle-185
W 3-0 at Reading-155
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+475+825+950+876+809+950+950+864.5
Brighton-164-300-280-280-299-290-280-228.6
Draw+275+385+375+404+398+390+404+398.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+550---+700+900+900+864.5
Brighton-230----320-310-310-228.6
Draw+260---+310+410+410+398.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 40.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +916 to +862
Brighton ML moved from -274 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +975 to +825
Brighton ML moved from -275 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½-118o2¾+104o2½-118-o2¾+104o2½-118o2½-102
Underu2½-143u2½-102u2¾-124u2½+103-u2¾-124u2¾-124u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105---o2½-115o2½-120o2½-115o2½-102
Underu2½-135---u2½-115u2½+100u2½+100u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-101 to o2¾-125
The Under moved from u2¾+105 to u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.66%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 414.94%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.05%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.10%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 052.13%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 211.06%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 012.78%
Exactly 126.29%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.55%
Exactly 49.54%
Exactly 53.93%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.53%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 073.96%
Exactly 122.31%
Exactly 23.36%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 038.58%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals2.61%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals45.08%
Wins by 3+ goals23.53%
Wins by 4+ goals10.16%
Wins by 5+ goals3.69%
Wins by 6+ goals1.14%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Brighton and Hove Albion
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal7.97%
Wins by 2 goals2.15%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals21.55%
Wins by 3 goals13.38%
Wins by 4 goals6.46%
Wins by 5 goals2.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.34%6.66%
1.575.29%24.71%
2.550.85%49.15%
3.528.78%71.22%
4.513.84%86.16%
5.55.74%94.26%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.87%52.13%
1.513.91%86.09%
2.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.22%12.78%
1.560.93%39.07%
2.533.88%66.12%
3.515.34%84.66%
4.55.80%94.20%
5.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.47%28.53%
1.535.69%64.31%
2.513.25%86.75%
3.53.87%96.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
6.66%
13.71%
14.10%
9.67%
4.97%
2.05%
1
4.34%
8.93%
9.18%
6.30%
3.24%
1.33%
2
1.41%
2.91%
2.99%
2.05%
1.06%
0.43%
3
0.31%
0.63%
0.65%
0.45%
0.23%
0.09%
Swansea City
1-04.34%
2-01.41%
2-12.91%
3-00.31%
3-10.63%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-06.66%
1-18.93%
2-22.99%
3-30.45%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-113.71%
0-214.10%
1-29.18%
0-39.67%
1-36.30%
2-32.05%
0-44.97%
1-43.24%
2-41.06%
3-40.23%
0-52.05%
1-51.33%
2-50.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
28.53%
27.18%
12.94%
4.11%
0.98%
0.19%
1
8.61%
8.20%
3.90%
1.24%
0.30%
0.06%
2
1.30%
1.24%
0.59%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-08.61%
2-01.30%
2-11.24%
3-00.13%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-028.53%
1-18.20%
2-20.59%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-127.18%
0-212.94%
1-23.90%
0-34.11%
1-31.24%
2-30.19%
0-40.98%
1-40.30%
0-50.19%
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