Watford at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Watford

39.2%28.0%32.8%
Watford WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.11
2Final Score 2

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Oxford United-135
L 0-1 at Swansea City+300
W 6-2 at Sheffield Wednesday+285
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+140
L 1-2 at Leeds United+825
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
T 1-1 at Derby County+375
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth+135
L 0-3 at Leeds United+1500
T 3-3 vs Preston North End+180
L 0-1 at Millwall+460

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+127+122+120+117+115+117+122+134.3
Plymouth Argyle+209+221+215+200+219+200+221+224.0
Draw+262+259+255+250+256+250+259+278.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+125---+110+125+125+134.3
Plymouth Argyle+205---+185+210+210+224.0
Draw+260---+235+250+250+278.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +129 to +120
No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+116o2¾-118o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-105
Underu3-136u3-137u2¾-102u2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾-102u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-105
Under-----u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.58%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.08%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.47%
Exactly 320.60%
Exactly 55.67%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 028.98%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 39.18%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 033.06%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.25%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 056.36%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.27%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 059.90%
Exactly 130.70%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals17.12%
Wins by 3+ goals5.79%
Wins by 4+ goals1.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals12.96%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal22.08%
Wins by 2 goals11.34%
Wins by 3 goals4.23%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal19.74%
Wins by 2 goals9.05%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.42%9.58%
1.567.95%32.05%
2.541.60%58.40%
3.521.00%79.00%
4.58.92%91.08%
5.53.25%96.75%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.02%28.98%
1.535.13%64.87%
2.512.90%87.10%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.94%33.06%
1.530.35%69.65%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
9.58%
10.60%
5.87%
2.17%
0.60%
0.13%
1
11.86%
13.13%
7.27%
2.68%
0.74%
0.16%
2
7.35%
8.13%
4.50%
1.66%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.03%
3.36%
1.86%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.94%
1.04%
0.58%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-011.86%
2-07.35%
2-18.13%
3-03.03%
3-13.36%
3-21.86%
4-00.94%
4-11.04%
4-20.58%
4-30.21%
5-00.23%
5-10.26%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.58%
1-113.13%
2-24.50%
3-30.69%
Plymouth Argyle
0-110.60%
0-25.87%
1-27.27%
0-32.17%
1-32.68%
2-31.66%
0-40.60%
1-40.74%
2-40.46%
3-40.19%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Plymouth Argyle
Score0123
0
33.76%
17.30%
4.43%
0.76%
1
19.36%
9.92%
2.54%
0.43%
2
5.55%
2.84%
0.73%
0.12%
3
1.06%
0.54%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-019.36%
2-05.55%
2-12.84%
3-01.06%
3-10.54%
3-20.14%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-033.76%
1-19.92%
2-20.73%
Plymouth Argyle
0-117.30%
0-24.43%
1-22.54%
0-30.76%
1-30.43%
2-30.12%
Swansea City at Burnley
Burnley at Bristol City