Swansea City at Millwall

Updated

Swansea City

24.0%25.9%50.1%
Swansea City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.51
0Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+175
W 0-1 vs Hull City+135
W 1-0 at Sunderland+380
W 0-3 vs Plymouth Argyle-160
W 0-1 vs Derby County+115
Millwall
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Norwich City+125
L 1-4 at Blackburn+225
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+220
W 1-0 at Sheffield United+525
W 1-2 vs Portsmouth+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+230+231+220+205+227+205+231+229.2
Millwall+125+133+130+136+128+136+136+154.8
Draw+205+224+205+205+217+205+224+229.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+250---+215+225+225+229.2
Millwall+125---+110+135+135+154.8
Draw+215---+200+215+215+229.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 10.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +229 to +221
Millwall ML moved from +128 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 0.0%
Millwall: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +250 to +230
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-124o2-129o2-128o2-128o2¼+106o2-128o2-128o2-117
Underu2+104u2+110u2+108u2+108u2¼-130u2+108u2¼-130u2+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-117
Under-----u2+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 413.16%
Exactly 62.69%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.82%
Exactly 321.27%
Exactly 56.52%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 038.25%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.66%
Exactly 35.66%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 021.99%
Exactly 133.30%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 312.74%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.78%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 064.08%
Exactly 128.52%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 049.59%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.20%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals8.35%
Wins by 3+ goals2.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals25.47%
Wins by 3+ goals10.20%
Wins by 4+ goals3.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal15.58%
Wins by 2 goals6.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals15.27%
Wins by 3 goals6.92%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.59%8.41%
1.570.77%29.23%
2.545.00%55.00%
3.523.73%76.27%
4.510.56%89.44%
5.54.04%95.96%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.75%38.25%
1.524.99%75.01%
2.57.33%92.67%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.01%21.99%
1.544.71%55.29%
2.519.49%80.51%
3.56.75%93.25%
4.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.22%31.78%
1.531.79%68.21%
2.510.91%89.09%
3.52.93%97.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Millwall
Score012345
0
8.41%
12.74%
9.65%
4.87%
1.84%
0.56%
1
8.08%
12.24%
9.27%
4.68%
1.77%
0.54%
2
3.88%
5.88%
4.46%
2.25%
0.85%
0.26%
3
1.24%
1.88%
1.43%
0.72%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.30%
0.45%
0.34%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-08.08%
2-03.88%
2-15.88%
3-01.24%
3-11.88%
3-21.43%
4-00.30%
4-10.45%
4-20.34%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-08.41%
1-112.24%
2-24.46%
3-30.72%
Millwall
0-112.74%
0-29.65%
1-29.27%
0-34.87%
1-34.68%
2-32.25%
0-41.84%
1-41.77%
2-40.85%
3-40.27%
0-50.56%
1-50.54%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Millwall
Score01234
0
31.78%
22.29%
7.82%
1.83%
0.32%
1
14.14%
9.92%
3.48%
0.81%
0.14%
2
3.15%
2.21%
0.77%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.47%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-014.14%
2-03.15%
2-12.21%
3-00.47%
3-10.33%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.78%
1-19.92%
2-20.77%
Millwall
0-122.29%
0-27.82%
1-23.48%
0-31.83%
1-30.81%
2-30.18%
0-40.32%
1-40.14%