Birmingham City at Watford

Updated

Birmingham City

18.6%18.0%63.4%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.14
0Final Score 3

Watford

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Reading+250
L 3-0 vs Bristol City+105
L 0-1 at Barnsley+350
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+210
W 1-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
Watford
Money Line
W 4-1 at Rotherham United-155
W 2-1 at Cardiff City+150
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest-110
W 0-2 vs Wycombe Wanderers-265
L 0-1 at Bournemouth+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+450+455+450+440+429+440+455-
Watford-155-139-150-159-146-159-139-
Draw+280+245+265+250+257+250+265-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+610----+475+475-
Watford-205-----145-145-
Draw+320----+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +461 to +455
Watford ML moved from -156 to -164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +525 to +475
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2¼+106o2-130o2¼-104-o2¼-104o2-130-
Underu2½-140u2¼-130u2+110u2¼-116-u2¼-116u2+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.1%
 
No58.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.28%
Exactly 224.05%
Exactly 415.36%
Exactly 63.92%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.38%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.50%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 053.42%
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 210.50%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 011.75%
Exactly 125.16%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 319.23%
Exactly 410.29%
Exactly 54.41%
Exactly 61.57%
Exactly 70.48%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.76%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 074.80%
Exactly 121.72%
Exactly 23.15%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 037.11%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.23%
Exactly 36.02%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals2.26%
Wins by 3+ goals0.39%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals47.69%
Wins by 3+ goals25.68%
Wins by 4+ goals11.47%
Wins by 5+ goals4.32%
Wins by 6+ goals1.38%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Watford
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal7.24%
Wins by 2 goals1.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.73%
Wins by 2 goals22.01%
Wins by 3 goals14.22%
Wins by 4 goals7.15%
Wins by 5 goals2.93%
Wins by 6 goals1.01%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.72%6.28%
1.576.34%23.66%
2.552.29%47.71%
3.530.10%69.90%
4.514.74%85.26%
5.56.24%93.76%
6.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.58%53.42%
1.513.09%86.91%
2.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.25%11.75%
1.563.08%36.92%
2.536.14%63.86%
3.516.92%83.08%
4.56.63%93.37%
5.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.24%27.76%
1.536.67%63.33%
2.513.87%86.13%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
6.28%
13.44%
14.39%
10.27%
5.50%
2.35%
1
3.94%
8.43%
9.02%
6.44%
3.45%
1.48%
2
1.23%
2.64%
2.83%
2.02%
1.08%
0.46%
3
0.26%
0.55%
0.59%
0.42%
0.23%
0.10%
Birmingham City
1-03.94%
2-01.23%
2-12.64%
3-00.26%
3-10.55%
3-20.59%
Draw
0-06.28%
1-18.43%
2-22.83%
3-30.42%
Watford
0-113.44%
0-214.39%
1-29.02%
0-310.27%
1-36.44%
2-32.02%
0-45.50%
1-43.45%
2-41.08%
3-40.23%
0-52.35%
1-51.48%
2-50.46%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Watford
Score012345
0
27.76%
27.52%
13.64%
4.51%
1.12%
0.22%
1
8.06%
7.99%
3.96%
1.31%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.17%
1.16%
0.57%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-08.06%
2-01.17%
2-11.16%
3-00.11%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-027.76%
1-17.99%
2-20.57%
Watford
0-127.52%
0-213.64%
1-23.96%
0-34.51%
1-31.31%
2-30.19%
0-41.12%
1-40.32%
0-50.22%
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