Middlesbrough at Swansea City

Updated

Middlesbrough

24.0%23.0%52.9%
Middlesbrough WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.77
1Final Score 2

Swansea City

Last 4 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 2-1 at Coventry City+160
T 1-1 vs Cardiff City+165
L 3-1 vs Bristol City-160
W 2-0 at Reading+210
Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stoke City+195
L 3-1 vs Bristol City-140
W 0-1 vs Coventry City+115
L 1-4 at Huddersfield+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+270+217+210+175+206+175+217-
Swansea City+100+148+145+153+146+153+153-
Draw+240+198+210+210+209+210+210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+225---+205+215+215-
Swansea City+135---+120+150+150-
Draw+215---+190+200+200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +200 to +175
Swansea City ML moved from +135 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 20.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +215 to +200
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2-112o2-115o2-110-o2-110o2-110-
Underu2+110u2-109u2-105u2-110-u2-110u2-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.65%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 413.91%
Exactly 63.06%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.67%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.15%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 044.80%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 214.44%
Exactly 33.87%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 017.08%
Exactly 130.18%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.71%
Exactly 46.94%
Exactly 52.45%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.42%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 068.95%
Exactly 125.63%
Exactly 24.76%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 044.12%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.77%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals4.98%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals34.59%
Wins by 3+ goals15.88%
Wins by 4+ goals5.96%
Wins by 5+ goals1.86%
Wins by 6+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal11.66%
Wins by 2 goals3.86%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal25.67%
Wins by 2 goals18.71%
Wins by 3 goals9.92%
Wins by 4 goals4.10%
Wins by 5 goals1.39%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.35%7.65%
1.572.68%27.32%
2.547.41%52.59%
3.525.76%74.24%
4.511.84%88.16%
5.54.69%95.31%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.20%44.80%
1.519.23%80.77%
2.54.78%95.22%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.92%17.08%
1.552.74%47.26%
2.526.07%73.93%
3.510.35%89.65%
4.53.41%96.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.58%30.42%
1.533.38%66.62%
2.511.84%88.16%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score012345
0
7.65%
13.52%
11.95%
7.04%
3.11%
1.10%
1
6.14%
10.86%
9.59%
5.65%
2.50%
0.88%
2
2.47%
4.36%
3.85%
2.27%
1.00%
0.35%
3
0.66%
1.17%
1.03%
0.61%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.13%
0.23%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Middlesbrough
1-06.14%
2-02.47%
2-14.36%
3-00.66%
3-11.17%
3-21.03%
4-00.13%
4-10.23%
4-20.21%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-07.65%
1-110.86%
2-23.85%
3-30.61%
Swansea City
0-113.52%
0-211.95%
1-29.59%
0-37.04%
1-35.65%
2-32.27%
0-43.11%
1-42.50%
2-41.00%
3-40.27%
0-51.10%
1-50.88%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score01234
0
30.42%
24.89%
10.19%
2.78%
0.57%
1
11.31%
9.25%
3.79%
1.03%
0.21%
2
2.10%
1.72%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.26%
0.21%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.31%
2-02.10%
2-11.72%
3-00.26%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-030.42%
1-19.25%
2-20.70%
Swansea City
0-124.89%
0-210.19%
1-23.79%
0-32.78%
1-31.03%
2-30.19%
0-40.57%
1-40.21%
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