Cardiff City at Millwall

Updated

Cardiff City

29.4%26.2%44.4%
Cardiff City WinDrawMillwall Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.48
1Final Score 2

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Peterborough United-175
W 1-0 at Barnsley+130
W 1-2 vs Nottingham Forest+230
L 2-3 at Bristol City+165
L 1-0 vs Blackburn+190
Millwall
Money Line
L 0-3 at Fulham+730
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+145
W 0-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+285
L 0-1 at Blackpool+220
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+250+275+240+282+257+240+282+266.0
Millwall+110+120+123+119+117+123+123+133.2
Draw+230+200+197+224+216+197+224+235.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+245---+215+240+240+266.0
Millwall+115---+105+125+125+133.2
Draw+235---+210+220+220+235.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +255 to +245
Millwall ML moved from +124 to +114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Millwall: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +250 to +240
Millwall ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-122o2-109o2-108-o2-109o2-108o2-109
Underu2¼-102u2+102u2-111u2-107-u2-111u2+102u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.50%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 413.08%
Exactly 62.65%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.96%
Exactly 321.22%
Exactly 56.45%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 037.45%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.06%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 022.70%
Exactly 133.66%
Exactly 224.96%
Exactly 312.34%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 51.36%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.94%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 42.26%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 063.46%
Exactly 128.86%
Exactly 26.56%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 050.33%
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 211.86%
Exactly 32.71%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals8.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals24.39%
Wins by 3+ goals9.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Millwall
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal16.10%
Wins by 2 goals6.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals14.79%
Wins by 3 goals6.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.50%8.50%
1.570.54%29.46%
2.544.72%55.28%
3.523.50%76.50%
4.510.42%89.58%
5.53.97%96.03%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.55%37.45%
1.525.77%74.23%
2.57.70%92.30%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.30%22.70%
1.543.64%56.36%
2.518.69%81.31%
3.56.35%93.65%
4.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.06%31.94%
1.531.61%68.39%
2.510.80%89.20%
3.52.89%97.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Millwall
Score012345
0
8.50%
12.61%
9.35%
4.62%
1.71%
0.51%
1
8.35%
12.38%
9.18%
4.54%
1.68%
0.50%
2
4.10%
6.08%
4.51%
2.23%
0.83%
0.24%
3
1.34%
1.99%
1.48%
0.73%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.33%
0.49%
0.36%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Cardiff City
1-08.35%
2-04.10%
2-16.08%
3-01.34%
3-11.99%
3-21.48%
4-00.33%
4-10.49%
4-20.36%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.50%
1-112.38%
2-24.51%
3-30.73%
Millwall
0-112.61%
0-29.35%
1-29.18%
0-34.62%
1-34.54%
2-32.23%
0-41.71%
1-41.68%
2-40.83%
3-40.27%
0-50.51%
1-50.50%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Millwall
Score01234
0
31.94%
21.93%
7.53%
1.72%
0.30%
1
14.52%
9.97%
3.42%
0.78%
0.13%
2
3.30%
2.27%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.50%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-014.52%
2-03.30%
2-12.27%
3-00.50%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.94%
1-19.97%
2-20.78%
Millwall
0-121.93%
0-27.53%
1-23.42%
0-31.72%
1-30.78%
2-30.18%
0-40.30%
1-40.13%