Millwall at Bristol City

Updated

Millwall

31.4%28.1%40.5%
Millwall WinDrawBristol City Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.25
1Final Score 0

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Norwich City+130
W 0-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+115
T 0-0 at Stoke City+275
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield-135
L 2-3 at Leicester City+750
Bristol City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+155
W 4-1 at Watford+320
W 2-3 vs Hull City+175
W 0-1 vs Sunderland+210
L 1-2 at Blackburn+280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+254+251+255+215+215+215+255+239.6
Bristol City+119+123+105+131+131+131+131+149.1
Draw+232+226+245+205+205+205+245+228.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+260---+250+270+270+239.6
Bristol City+115----110+110+110+149.1
Draw+225---+215+230+230+228.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 20.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +220 to +210
Bristol City ML moved from +115 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 20.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 50.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-130o2¼+108o2¼+114o2¼+114o2¼+114o2-130o2¼+123
Underu2½-138u2+110u2¼-128u2¼-134u2¼-134u2¼-134u2¼-128u2¼-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+123
Under-----u2¼-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.84%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 411.85%
Exactly 62.12%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.82%
Exactly 320.44%
Exactly 55.49%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 034.45%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.56%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 028.58%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 39.36%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.19%
Exactly 219.69%
Exactly 41.89%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 061.05%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.43%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 056.00%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 29.41%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals12.05%
Wins by 3+ goals3.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals17.91%
Wins by 3+ goals6.12%
Wins by 4+ goals1.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal19.24%
Wins by 2 goals8.53%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal22.61%
Wins by 2 goals11.78%
Wins by 3 goals4.45%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.16%9.84%
1.567.33%32.67%
2.540.88%59.12%
3.520.44%79.56%
4.58.59%91.41%
5.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.55%34.45%
1.528.84%71.16%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.42%28.58%
1.535.62%64.38%
2.513.21%86.79%
3.53.85%96.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.81%34.19%
1.529.12%70.88%
2.59.43%90.57%
3.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Bristol City
Score012345
0
9.84%
12.33%
7.72%
3.22%
1.01%
0.25%
1
10.49%
13.14%
8.23%
3.44%
1.08%
0.27%
2
5.59%
7.00%
4.39%
1.83%
0.57%
0.14%
3
1.99%
2.49%
1.56%
0.65%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.53%
0.66%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-010.49%
2-05.59%
2-17.00%
3-01.99%
3-12.49%
3-21.56%
4-00.53%
4-10.66%
4-20.42%
4-30.17%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.84%
1-113.14%
2-24.39%
3-30.65%
Bristol City
0-112.33%
0-27.72%
1-28.23%
0-33.22%
1-33.44%
2-31.83%
0-41.01%
1-41.08%
2-40.57%
3-40.20%
0-50.25%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Bristol City
Score01234
0
34.19%
19.82%
5.75%
1.11%
0.16%
1
16.87%
9.78%
2.84%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.16%
2.41%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.68%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-016.87%
2-04.16%
2-12.41%
3-00.68%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-034.19%
1-19.78%
2-20.70%
Bristol City
0-119.82%
0-25.75%
1-22.84%
0-31.11%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%
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