Norwich City at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Norwich City

36.1%28.4%35.4%
Norwich City WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 6

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Norwich City
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Leicester City+145
W 0-1 vs Stoke City-115
L 1-2 at Rotherham United-130
W 4-0 at Huddersfield-105
W 1-3 vs Millwall+100
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
L 1-4 at Bristol City+425
L 1-2 at Preston North End+260
W 0-3 vs Blackburn+180
L 1-2 at Birmingham City+355
L 2-1 vs Southampton+330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+110+106+105+105+105+105+106+124.4
Plymouth Argyle+240+241+225+197+197+197+241+225.1
Draw+230+283+260+270+270+270+283+305.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+115----120+105+105+124.4
Plymouth Argyle+175---+220+235+235+225.1
Draw+235---+270+275+275+305.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Norwich City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +101 to -101
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +205 to +197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Norwich City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from -105 to -120
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +220 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-117o3-108o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-108o3-109
Underu2½+102u3-101u3-112u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-132 to o2¾-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.14%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.60%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.20%
Exactly 320.26%
Exactly 55.31%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 031.61%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 032.07%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.65%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 058.67%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 28.34%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 059.06%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals14.93%
Wins by 3+ goals4.75%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals14.38%
Wins by 3+ goals4.46%
Wins by 4+ goals1.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Norwich City
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals10.18%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal20.92%
Wins by 2 goals9.93%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.86%10.14%
1.566.66%33.34%
2.540.11%59.89%
3.519.84%80.16%
4.58.25%91.75%
5.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.39%31.61%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.93%32.07%
1.531.46%68.54%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.35%34.65%
1.528.62%71.38%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Norwich City
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
10.14%
11.53%
6.55%
2.48%
0.71%
0.16%
1
11.67%
13.28%
7.55%
2.86%
0.81%
0.19%
2
6.72%
7.65%
4.35%
1.65%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.58%
2.94%
1.67%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.74%
0.85%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-011.67%
2-06.72%
2-17.65%
3-02.58%
3-12.94%
3-21.67%
4-00.74%
4-10.85%
4-20.48%
4-30.18%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.14%
1-113.28%
2-24.35%
3-30.63%
Plymouth Argyle
0-111.53%
0-26.55%
1-27.55%
0-32.48%
1-32.86%
2-31.65%
0-40.71%
1-40.81%
2-40.47%
3-40.18%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Norwich City
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
34.65%
18.25%
4.80%
0.84%
0.11%
1
18.48%
9.73%
2.56%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.93%
2.59%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.88%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-018.48%
2-04.93%
2-12.59%
3-00.88%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.65%
1-19.73%
2-20.68%
Plymouth Argyle
0-118.25%
0-24.80%
1-22.56%
0-30.84%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%
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