Watford at Leeds United

Updated

Watford

9.2%15.7%75.1%
WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.44
1Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 0-3 at Luton Town+260
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 0-3 at Preston North End+180
W 1-2 vs Sunderland+210
L 1-4 at Norwich City+220
Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United-115
T 2-2 at Sunderland+145
T 1-1 at Norwich City+100
W 0-3 vs Coventry City-175
W 2-0 at Cardiff City-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+525+834+700+680+816+680+834+745.6
Leeds United-225-299-300-323-328-323-299-238.2
Draw+350+444+400+420+427+420+444+463.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+710---+635+825+825+745.6
Leeds United-275----335-310-310-238.2
Draw+415---+355+440+440+463.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +750 to +700
Leeds United ML moved from -333 to -345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 20.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Leeds United ML moved from -280 to -315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-107o3-108o3-111o3-106o3-111o3-106o3-101
Underu3-125u3-109u3-112u3-109u3-116u3-109u3-109u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-101
Under-----u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.20%
Exactly 221.10%
Exactly 417.67%
Exactly 65.92%
Exactly 81.06%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.31%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 511.21%
Exactly 72.68%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 048.19%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 212.84%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 08.71%
Exactly 121.26%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 412.88%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.04%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 44.46%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.82%
Exactly 312.15%
Exactly 51.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 071.32%
Exactly 124.11%
Exactly 24.07%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 032.31%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals2.37%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals52.44%
Wins by 3+ goals30.65%
Wins by 4+ goals15.06%
Wins by 5+ goals6.29%
Wins by 6+ goals2.24%
Wins by 7+ goals0.66%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Leeds United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Watford
Wins by 1 goal6.73%
Wins by 2 goals1.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals21.79%
Wins by 3 goals15.59%
Wins by 4 goals8.77%
Wins by 5 goals4.05%
Wins by 6 goals1.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.53%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.80%4.20%
1.582.49%17.51%
2.561.39%38.61%
3.539.09%60.91%
4.521.41%78.59%
5.510.21%89.79%
6.54.28%95.72%
7.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.81%48.19%
1.516.63%83.37%
2.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.29%8.71%
1.570.02%29.98%
2.544.08%55.92%
3.522.98%77.02%
4.510.10%89.90%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.96%23.04%
1.543.14%56.86%
2.518.31%81.69%
3.56.17%93.83%
4.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Leeds United
Score012345
0
4.20%
10.25%
12.50%
10.17%
6.20%
3.03%
1
3.07%
7.48%
9.13%
7.42%
4.53%
2.21%
2
1.12%
2.73%
3.33%
2.71%
1.65%
0.81%
3
0.27%
0.66%
0.81%
0.66%
0.40%
0.20%
Watford
1-03.07%
2-01.12%
2-12.73%
3-00.27%
3-10.66%
3-20.81%
Draw
0-04.20%
1-17.48%
2-23.33%
3-30.66%
Leeds United
0-110.25%
0-212.50%
1-29.13%
0-310.17%
1-37.42%
2-32.71%
0-46.20%
1-44.53%
2-41.65%
3-40.40%
0-53.03%
1-52.21%
2-50.81%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Leeds United
Score012345
0
23.04%
26.03%
14.71%
5.54%
1.56%
0.35%
1
7.79%
8.80%
4.97%
1.87%
0.53%
0.12%
2
1.32%
1.49%
0.84%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-07.79%
2-01.32%
2-11.49%
3-00.15%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-023.04%
1-18.80%
2-20.84%
Leeds United
0-126.03%
0-214.71%
1-24.97%
0-35.54%
1-31.87%
2-30.32%
0-41.56%
1-40.53%
0-50.35%
1-50.12%