Stoke City at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Stoke City

37.3%28.1%34.6%
Stoke City WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 2

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-4 at Queens Park Rangers+175
L 3-0 vs Blackburn+120
T 0-0 at Coventry City+220
T 0-0 vs Cardiff City+105
W 2-0 at Middlesbrough+340
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
L 0-1 at Coventry City+385
W 0-2 vs Sunderland+260
L 1-2 at Leeds United+965
T 3-3 vs Middlesbrough+290
L 2-3 at Ipswich Town+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+169+156+155+137+149+137+156+155.6
Plymouth Argyle+169+170+165+164+175+164+175+184.7
Draw+238+258+240+260+262+260+262+288.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+125---+135+160+160+155.6
Plymouth Argyle+160---+155+160+160+184.7
Draw+235---+225+255+255+288.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 10.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +162 to +156
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +166 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 20.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +175 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o3+111o2¾-115o2¾-124o2¾-117o2¾-124o2¾-115o2¾-113
Underu2½+107u3-131u2¾-105u2¾+104u2¾-101u2¾+104u2¾+104u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-113
Under-----u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-122 to o2¾-112
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.66%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 412.01%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.57%
Exactly 320.56%
Exactly 55.62%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 030.23%
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 221.63%
Exactly 38.63%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 031.94%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 37.91%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.88%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.16%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 057.47%
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 28.82%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 058.95%
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 28.23%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals15.83%
Wins by 3+ goals5.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals14.03%
Wins by 3+ goals4.34%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Plymouth Argyle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal21.45%
Wins by 2 goals10.64%
Wins by 3 goals3.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal20.46%
Wins by 2 goals9.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.34%9.66%
1.567.77%32.23%
2.541.39%58.61%
3.520.83%79.17%
4.58.82%91.18%
5.53.20%96.80%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.77%30.23%
1.533.61%66.39%
2.511.97%88.03%
3.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.06%31.94%
1.531.61%68.39%
2.510.80%89.20%
3.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.12%33.88%
1.529.45%70.55%
2.59.60%90.40%
3.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
9.66%
11.02%
6.29%
2.39%
0.68%
0.16%
1
11.55%
13.18%
7.52%
2.86%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.91%
7.89%
4.50%
1.71%
0.49%
0.11%
3
2.76%
3.14%
1.79%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.82%
0.94%
0.54%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-011.55%
2-06.91%
2-17.89%
3-02.76%
3-13.14%
3-21.79%
4-00.82%
4-10.94%
4-20.54%
4-30.20%
5-00.20%
5-10.23%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.66%
1-113.18%
2-24.50%
3-30.68%
Plymouth Argyle
0-111.02%
0-26.29%
1-27.52%
0-32.39%
1-32.86%
2-31.71%
0-40.68%
1-40.82%
2-40.49%
3-40.19%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
33.88%
17.90%
4.73%
0.83%
0.11%
1
18.77%
9.92%
2.62%
0.46%
0.06%
2
5.20%
2.75%
0.73%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.96%
0.51%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-018.77%
2-05.20%
2-12.75%
3-00.96%
3-10.51%
3-20.13%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-033.88%
1-19.92%
2-20.73%
Plymouth Argyle
0-117.90%
0-24.73%
1-22.62%
0-30.83%
1-30.46%
2-30.13%
0-40.11%
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