Luton Town at Cardiff City

Updated

Luton Town

28.3%26.1%45.7%
Luton Town WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.47
2Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sheffield United+230
W 2-0 at Swansea City+215
L 0-2 at Bristol City+160
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+125
T 1-1 at Burnley+395
Cardiff City
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+185
L 0-2 at Bristol City+235
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+500
W 0-1 vs Birmingham City+110
L 1-2 at Reading+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+184+204+205+181+201+181+205+215.6
Cardiff City+168+161+155+158+153+158+161+169.3
Draw+218+205+190+197+201+197+205+220.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+180---+180+200+200+215.6
Cardiff City+170---+140+160+160+169.3
Draw+210---+180+200+200+220.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +191 to +185
Cardiff City ML moved from +159 to +153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML
Cardiff City ML moved from +150 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-113o2-115o2-111-o2-111o2-111o2-105
Underu2+118u2-103u2-105u2-109-u2-109u2-103u2+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-105
Under-----u2+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.70%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 413.86%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.75%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 033.42%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 023.05%
Exactly 133.82%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 312.14%
Exactly 44.46%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.51%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 050.68%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 211.70%
Exactly 32.65%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals10.85%
Wins by 3+ goals3.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals22.41%
Wins by 3+ goals8.67%
Wins by 4+ goals2.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal17.31%
Wins by 2 goals7.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals13.74%
Wins by 3 goals5.98%
Wins by 4 goals2.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.30%7.70%
1.572.55%27.45%
2.547.24%52.76%
3.525.61%74.39%
4.511.75%88.25%
5.54.64%95.36%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.58%33.42%
1.529.95%70.05%
2.59.88%90.12%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.95%23.05%
1.543.13%56.87%
2.518.31%81.69%
3.56.17%93.83%
4.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.49%30.51%
1.533.27%66.73%
2.511.77%88.23%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
7.70%
11.30%
8.30%
4.06%
1.49%
0.44%
1
8.44%
12.39%
9.09%
4.45%
1.63%
0.48%
2
4.63%
6.79%
4.98%
2.44%
0.89%
0.26%
3
1.69%
2.48%
1.82%
0.89%
0.33%
0.10%
4
0.46%
0.68%
0.50%
0.24%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.10%
0.15%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-08.44%
2-04.63%
2-16.79%
3-01.69%
3-12.48%
3-21.82%
4-00.46%
4-10.68%
4-20.50%
4-30.24%
5-00.10%
5-10.15%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-07.70%
1-112.39%
2-24.98%
3-30.89%
Cardiff City
0-111.30%
0-28.30%
1-29.09%
0-34.06%
1-34.45%
2-32.44%
0-41.49%
1-41.63%
2-40.89%
3-40.33%
0-50.44%
1-50.48%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
30.51%
20.74%
7.05%
1.60%
0.27%
1
15.48%
10.52%
3.58%
0.81%
0.14%
2
3.93%
2.67%
0.91%
0.21%
0.03%
3
0.66%
0.45%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-015.48%
2-03.93%
2-12.67%
3-00.66%
3-10.45%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-030.51%
1-110.52%
2-20.91%
Cardiff City
0-120.74%
0-27.05%
1-23.58%
0-31.60%
1-30.81%
2-30.21%
0-40.27%
1-40.14%