Sheffield Weds at Derby County

Updated

Sheffield Wednesday

31.9%29.0%39.1%
Sheffield Weds WinDrawDerby County Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.20
3Final Score 3

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Sheffield Wednesday
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest-105
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+165
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+100
L 2-0 vs Swansea City+190
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Swansea City+160
L 2-1 vs Birmingham City+120
L 0-3 at Preston North End+150
L 1-2 at Blackburn+240
L 1-0 vs Norwich City+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Weds+205+220+215+200+218+200+220-
Derby County+135+130+130+125+122+125+130-
Draw+225+226+230+230+238+230+238-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Weds+210---+195+205+205-
Derby County+130---+120+135+135-
Draw+235---+200+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Weds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Weds: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sheffield Weds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Weds: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Weds ML moved from +199 to +191
Derby County ML moved from +129 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Weds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Weds: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sheffield Weds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Weds: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sheffield Weds ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-150o2¼-125o2½+105o2¼-121-o2¼-121o2¼-121-
Underu2+125u2¼+103u2½-125u2¼+101-u2¼+101u2½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.25%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.58%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.67%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield Wednesday
Exactly 037.46%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.06%
Exactly 35.91%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.03%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.37%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield Wednesday
Exactly 063.47%
Exactly 128.85%
Exactly 26.56%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 057.30%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sheffield Wednesday
Wins by 2+ goals10.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.77%
Wins by 3+ goals5.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sheffield Wednesday
Wins by 1 goal18.99%
Wins by 2 goals7.90%
Wins by 3 goals2.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal23.26%
Wins by 2 goals11.86%
Wins by 3 goals4.35%
Wins by 4 goals1.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.75%11.25%
1.564.17%35.83%
2.537.32%62.68%
3.517.77%82.23%
4.57.09%92.91%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Sheffield Wednesday Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.54%37.46%
1.525.76%74.24%
2.57.70%92.30%
3.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.97%30.03%
1.533.84%66.16%
2.512.11%87.89%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.63%36.37%
1.526.85%73.15%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sheffield Weds
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.25%
13.53%
8.14%
3.26%
0.98%
0.24%
1
11.05%
13.29%
7.99%
3.20%
0.96%
0.23%
2
5.42%
6.52%
3.92%
1.57%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.77%
2.14%
1.28%
0.51%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.44%
0.52%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Sheffield Wednesday
1-011.05%
2-05.42%
2-16.52%
3-01.77%
3-12.14%
3-21.28%
4-00.44%
4-10.52%
4-20.32%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.25%
1-113.29%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Derby County
0-113.53%
0-28.14%
1-27.99%
0-33.26%
1-33.20%
2-31.57%
0-40.98%
1-40.96%
2-40.47%
3-40.15%
0-50.24%
1-50.23%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Sheffield Weds
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.37%
20.25%
5.64%
1.05%
0.15%
1
16.53%
9.21%
2.56%
0.48%
0.07%
2
3.76%
2.09%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.57%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sheffield Wednesday
1-016.53%
2-03.76%
2-12.09%
3-00.57%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.37%
1-19.21%
2-20.58%
Derby County
0-120.25%
0-25.64%
1-22.56%
0-31.05%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.15%
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