Stoke City at Swansea City

Updated

Stoke City

26.9%26.5%46.7%
Stoke City WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.45
0Final Score 3

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+185
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+105
W 2-0 at Hull City+295
L 3-0 vs Norwich City+155
W 2-1 at Preston North End+205
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+325
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+155
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+180
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City+100
L 0-1 at Bristol City+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+201+174+170+178+178+168+178+188.9
Swansea City+144+164+155+133+157+141+164+159.8
Draw+235+237+225+245+241+245+245+271.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+225---+155+175+175+188.9
Swansea City+145---+165+165+165+159.8
Draw+200---+180+225+225+271.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +178 to +168
Swansea City ML moved from +170 to +164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +175 to +165
Swansea City ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-122o2½-120o2½-121o2½-118o2½-121o2½-118o2½-110
Underu2½-110u2½+104u2½+100u2½+101u2½+100u2½+101u2½+104u2½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-110
Under-----u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.43%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 413.15%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.84%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 56.51%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.75%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 023.57%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 311.86%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.81%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 062.11%
Exactly 129.58%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 051.22%
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 211.46%
Exactly 32.56%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.89%
Wins by 3+ goals2.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals22.82%
Wins by 3+ goals8.77%
Wins by 4+ goals2.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.92%
Wins by 2 goals7.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals6.07%
Wins by 4 goals2.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.57%8.43%
1.570.73%29.27%
2.544.95%55.05%
3.523.68%76.32%
4.510.54%89.46%
5.54.03%95.97%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.25%35.75%
1.527.48%72.52%
2.58.57%91.43%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.43%23.57%
1.542.36%57.64%
2.517.75%82.25%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.19%31.81%
1.531.76%68.24%
2.510.89%89.11%
3.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.43%
12.18%
8.80%
4.24%
1.53%
0.44%
1
8.67%
12.53%
9.05%
4.36%
1.58%
0.46%
2
4.46%
6.44%
4.66%
2.24%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.53%
2.21%
1.60%
0.77%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.39%
0.57%
0.41%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.67%
2-04.46%
2-16.44%
3-01.53%
3-12.21%
3-21.60%
4-00.39%
4-10.57%
4-20.41%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.43%
1-112.53%
2-24.66%
3-30.77%
Swansea City
0-112.18%
0-28.80%
1-29.05%
0-34.24%
1-34.36%
2-32.24%
0-41.53%
1-41.58%
2-40.81%
3-40.28%
0-50.44%
1-50.46%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
31.81%
21.28%
7.12%
1.59%
0.27%
1
15.15%
10.14%
3.39%
0.76%
0.13%
2
3.61%
2.41%
0.81%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.57%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.15%
2-03.61%
2-12.41%
3-00.57%
3-10.38%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.81%
1-110.14%
2-20.81%
Swansea City
0-121.28%
0-27.12%
1-23.39%
0-31.59%
1-30.76%
2-30.18%
0-40.27%
1-40.13%
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