Middlesbrough at Swansea City

Updated

Middlesbrough

33.3%28.5%38.1%
Middlesbrough WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.19
3Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Reading-265
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+235
W 1-3 vs Queens Park Rangers-175
W 3-1 at Sheffield United+265
W 3-1 at Cardiff City+120
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Luton Town+340
T 1-1 vs Rotherham United-190
L 3-1 vs Stoke City+120
L 0-1 at Blackburn+150
W 1-2 vs Blackpool-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+123+123+120+128+132+128+132+146.7
Swansea City+228+223+215+190+228+190+228+213.8
Draw+248+254+235+235+251+235+254+262.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+115---+100+115+115+146.7
Swansea City+230---+205+240+240+213.8
Draw+255---+235+240+240+262.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Swansea City ML moved from +200 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Swansea City ML moved from +215 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-114o2½-124o2½-120o2½-120o2½-116o2½-120o2½-116o2½-109
Underu2½-104u2½+106u2½+100u2½+100u2½+101u2½+100u2½+106u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.28%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 411.47%
Exactly 61.98%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.39%
Exactly 320.17%
Exactly 55.22%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 033.66%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 030.55%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.88%
Exactly 219.35%
Exactly 41.79%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.41%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 057.75%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 28.70%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals13.08%
Wins by 3+ goals3.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals16.17%
Wins by 3+ goals5.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal20.16%
Wins by 2 goals9.18%
Wins by 3 goals3.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal21.96%
Wins by 2 goals10.89%
Wins by 3 goals3.91%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.72%10.28%
1.566.33%33.67%
2.539.72%60.28%
3.519.55%80.45%
4.58.08%91.92%
5.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.34%33.66%
1.529.68%70.32%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.45%30.55%
1.533.23%66.77%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.12%34.88%
1.528.38%71.62%
2.59.03%90.97%
3.52.24%97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score012345
0
10.28%
12.20%
7.23%
2.86%
0.85%
0.20%
1
11.20%
13.28%
7.87%
3.11%
0.92%
0.22%
2
6.10%
7.23%
4.29%
1.69%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.21%
2.62%
1.56%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.60%
0.71%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.20%
2-06.10%
2-17.23%
3-02.21%
3-12.62%
3-21.56%
4-00.60%
4-10.71%
4-20.42%
4-30.17%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.28%
1-113.28%
2-24.29%
3-30.61%
Swansea City
0-112.20%
0-27.23%
1-27.87%
0-32.86%
1-33.11%
2-31.69%
0-40.85%
1-40.92%
2-40.50%
3-40.18%
0-50.20%
1-50.22%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score01234
0
34.88%
19.15%
5.26%
0.96%
0.13%
1
17.58%
9.65%
2.65%
0.49%
0.07%
2
4.43%
2.43%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.74%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.58%
2-04.43%
2-12.43%
3-00.74%
3-10.41%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.88%
1-19.65%
2-20.67%
Swansea City
0-119.15%
0-25.26%
1-22.65%
0-30.96%
1-30.49%
2-30.12%
0-40.13%
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