Cardiff City at Watford

Updated

Cardiff City

17.0%22.3%60.6%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.84
3Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-4 at Sheffield United+565
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+145
W 3-1 at Blackpool+180
L 3-2 vs Swansea City+145
T 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+255
Watford
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bristol City+100
T 2-2 at Coventry City+250
L 3-2 vs Huddersfield-135
L 0-2 at Luton Town+250
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+320+281+285+240+307+240+307+266.8
Watford-120+112+105+114+109+114+114+130.9
Draw+250+226+220+215+222+215+226+239.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+310---+290+280+290+266.8
Watford-105----125+105+105+130.9
Draw+240---+220+230+230+239.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +294 to +286
Watford ML moved from +103 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +340 to +280
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-127o2-122o2-120o2½+149o2-120o2¼+111o2-109
Underu2¼-105u2+107u2+102u2+100u2½-164u2+100u2½-143u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 414.90%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.11%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.06%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 042.36%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.62%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 015.82%
Exactly 129.17%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.53%
Exactly 47.62%
Exactly 52.81%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.61%
Exactly 222.40%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.34%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 067.19%
Exactly 126.72%
Exactly 25.31%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 042.58%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.52%
Exactly 34.42%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals5.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals35.47%
Wins by 3+ goals16.74%
Wins by 4+ goals6.48%
Wins by 5+ goals2.09%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal11.69%
Wins by 2 goals4.06%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.09%
Wins by 2 goals18.73%
Wins by 3 goals10.26%
Wins by 4 goals4.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.19%24.81%
2.550.71%49.29%
3.528.65%71.35%
4.513.75%86.25%
5.55.70%94.30%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.64%42.36%
1.521.25%78.75%
2.55.63%94.37%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.18%15.82%
1.555.01%44.99%
2.528.12%71.88%
3.511.59%88.41%
4.53.97%96.03%
5.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.39%28.61%
1.535.59%64.41%
2.513.18%86.82%
3.53.84%96.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Watford
Score012345
0
6.70%
12.36%
11.39%
7.00%
3.23%
1.19%
1
5.76%
10.61%
9.79%
6.01%
2.77%
1.02%
2
2.47%
4.56%
4.20%
2.58%
1.19%
0.44%
3
0.71%
1.30%
1.20%
0.74%
0.34%
0.13%
4
0.15%
0.28%
0.26%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-05.76%
2-02.47%
2-14.56%
3-00.71%
3-11.30%
3-21.20%
4-00.15%
4-10.28%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.70%
1-110.61%
2-24.20%
3-30.74%
Watford
0-112.36%
0-211.39%
1-29.79%
0-37.00%
1-36.01%
2-32.58%
0-43.23%
1-42.77%
2-41.19%
3-40.34%
0-51.19%
1-51.02%
2-50.44%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Watford
Score012345
0
28.61%
24.43%
10.43%
2.97%
0.63%
0.11%
1
11.38%
9.71%
4.15%
1.18%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.26%
1.93%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cardiff City
1-011.38%
2-02.26%
2-11.93%
3-00.30%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.61%
1-19.71%
2-20.82%
Watford
0-124.43%
0-210.43%
1-24.15%
0-32.97%
1-31.18%
2-30.23%
0-40.63%
1-40.25%
0-50.11%
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