Swansea City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Swansea City

34.9%29.5%35.6%
Swansea City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.09
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Reading-125
W 2-0 at Barnsley+135
T 1-1 vs Blackpool-125
L 0-4 at Bournemouth+410
W 2-1 at Coventry City+230
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 2-1 at Huddersfield+160
L 2-1 vs Preston North End+125
T 1-1 vs Millwall+120
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+430
L 1-3 at Luton Town+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+205+290+305+299+284+305+305+318.5
Middlesbrough+130-105-104+105+100-104+105+108.7
Draw+225+235+220+247+233+220+247+254.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+250---+230+320+320+318.5
Middlesbrough+105----105-115-105+108.7
Draw+260---+220+260+260+254.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 40.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +325 to +305
Middlesbrough ML moved from +101 to -107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 10.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML
Middlesbrough ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2-132o2¼+101o2½+136-o2¼+101o2¼+108o2¼+111
Underu2½-128u2+111u2¼-121u2½-151-u2¼-121u2½-146u2¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+111
Under-----u2¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.62%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 410.39%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.01%
Exactly 319.31%
Exactly 54.47%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 034.42%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.92%
Exactly 218.33%
Exactly 41.52%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.09%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 061.03%
Exactly 130.14%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.49%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.64%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals13.57%
Wins by 3+ goals4.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals14.16%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal21.10%
Wins by 2 goals9.56%
Wins by 3 goals3.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.91%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.38%11.62%
1.563.36%36.64%
2.536.44%63.56%
3.517.13%82.87%
4.56.74%93.26%
5.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.58%34.42%
1.528.87%71.13%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.67%90.33%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.08%36.92%
1.526.29%73.71%
2.57.97%92.03%
3.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
11.62%
12.62%
6.85%
2.48%
0.67%
0.15%
1
12.39%
13.46%
7.31%
2.64%
0.72%
0.16%
2
6.61%
7.18%
3.90%
1.41%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.35%
2.55%
1.38%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.68%
0.37%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-012.39%
2-06.61%
2-17.18%
3-02.35%
3-12.55%
3-21.38%
4-00.63%
4-10.68%
4-20.37%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-011.62%
1-113.46%
2-23.90%
3-30.50%
Middlesbrough
0-112.62%
0-26.85%
1-27.31%
0-32.48%
1-32.64%
2-31.41%
0-40.67%
1-40.72%
2-40.38%
3-40.14%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
36.92%
18.56%
4.67%
0.78%
1
18.23%
9.16%
2.30%
0.39%
2
4.50%
2.26%
0.57%
0.10%
3
0.74%
0.37%
0.09%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-018.23%
2-04.50%
2-12.26%
3-00.74%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-036.92%
1-19.16%
2-20.57%
Middlesbrough
0-118.56%
0-24.67%
1-22.30%
0-30.78%
1-30.39%
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