Luton Town at Swansea City

Updated

Luton Town

21.8%20.3%57.9%
Luton Town WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.99
1Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Blackburn+145
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-125
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+340
W 2-0 at Reading-125
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+205
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Hull City+165
T 0-0 at Queens Park Rangers+215
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+185
L 4-1 vs Nottingham Forest+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+205+280+275+306+270+275+306+306.6
Swansea City+140+115+115+116+113+115+116+124.4
Draw+225+200+215+216+218+215+218+224.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+205---+220+270+270+306.6
Swansea City+145---+105+115+115+124.4
Draw+220---+205+215+215+224.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +255 to +245
Swansea City ML moved from +115 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML
Swansea City ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-105o2-116o2-108-o2-116o2-105o2+107
Underu2¼-110u2-115u2-104u2-107-u2-104u2-104u2-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+107
Under-----u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-114 to o2¼+102
The Under moved from u2¼-122 to u2-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.46%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 415.16%
Exactly 63.79%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.70%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.31%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 047.30%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 213.26%
Exactly 33.31%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 013.66%
Exactly 127.19%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.96%
Exactly 48.94%
Exactly 53.56%
Exactly 61.18%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.13%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 070.70%
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 24.25%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 039.78%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.90%
Exactly 35.19%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals3.58%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals41.29%
Wins by 3+ goals20.82%
Wins by 4+ goals8.64%
Wins by 5+ goals2.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Swansea City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal9.45%
Wins by 2 goals2.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal25.14%
Wins by 2 goals20.47%
Wins by 3 goals12.18%
Wins by 4 goals5.66%
Wins by 5 goals2.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.54%6.46%
1.575.85%24.15%
2.551.61%48.39%
3.529.47%70.53%
4.514.31%85.69%
5.56.00%94.00%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.70%47.30%
1.517.29%82.71%
2.54.03%95.97%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.34%13.66%
1.559.15%40.85%
2.532.09%67.91%
3.514.13%85.87%
4.55.18%94.82%
5.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.87%28.13%
1.536.20%63.80%
2.513.57%86.43%
3.54.00%96.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Swansea City
Score012345
0
6.46%
12.86%
12.80%
8.50%
4.23%
1.68%
1
4.84%
9.63%
9.58%
6.36%
3.17%
1.26%
2
1.81%
3.60%
3.59%
2.38%
1.19%
0.47%
3
0.45%
0.90%
0.90%
0.59%
0.30%
0.12%
Luton Town
1-04.84%
2-01.81%
2-13.60%
3-00.45%
3-10.90%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-06.46%
1-19.63%
2-23.59%
3-30.59%
Swansea City
0-112.86%
0-212.80%
1-29.58%
0-38.50%
1-36.36%
2-32.38%
0-44.23%
1-43.17%
2-41.19%
3-40.30%
0-51.68%
1-51.26%
2-50.47%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Swansea City
Score012345
0
28.13%
25.93%
11.95%
3.67%
0.85%
0.16%
1
9.75%
8.99%
4.14%
1.27%
0.29%
0.05%
2
1.69%
1.56%
0.72%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-09.75%
2-01.69%
2-11.56%
3-00.20%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-028.13%
1-18.99%
2-20.72%
Swansea City
0-125.93%
0-211.95%
1-24.14%
0-33.67%
1-31.27%
2-30.22%
0-40.85%
1-40.29%
0-50.16%
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