Luton Town at Swansea City

Updated

Luton Town

21.8%20.3%57.9%
Luton Town WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.99
1Final Score 0

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Blackburn+145
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-125
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+340
W 2-0 at Reading-125
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+205
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Hull City+165
T 0-0 at Queens Park Rangers+215
W 0-1 vs Preston North End+110
T 1-1 at Huddersfield+185
L 4-1 vs Nottingham Forest+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+205+280+275+306+270+275+306+306.6
Swansea City+140+115+115+116+113+115+116+124.4
Draw+225+200+215+216+218+215+218+224.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+205---+220+270+270+306.6
Swansea City+145---+105+115+115+124.4
Draw+220---+205+215+215+224.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +255 to +245
Swansea City ML moved from +115 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML
Swansea City ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2-105o2-116o2-108-o2-116o2-105o2+107
Underu2¼-110u2-115u2-104u2-107-u2-104u2-104u2-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+107
Under-----u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-114 to o2¼+102
The Under moved from u2¼-122 to u2-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.46%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 415.16%
Exactly 63.79%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.70%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.31%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 047.30%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 213.26%
Exactly 33.31%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 013.66%
Exactly 127.19%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.96%
Exactly 48.94%
Exactly 53.56%
Exactly 61.18%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.13%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 070.70%
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 24.25%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 039.78%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.90%
Exactly 35.19%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals3.58%
Wins by 3+ goals0.70%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals41.29%
Wins by 3+ goals20.82%
Wins by 4+ goals8.64%
Wins by 5+ goals2.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Swansea City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal9.45%
Wins by 2 goals2.88%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal25.14%
Wins by 2 goals20.47%
Wins by 3 goals12.18%
Wins by 4 goals5.66%
Wins by 5 goals2.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.54%6.46%
1.575.85%24.15%
2.551.61%48.39%
3.529.47%70.53%
4.514.31%85.69%
5.56.00%94.00%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.70%47.30%
1.517.29%82.71%
2.54.03%95.97%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.34%13.66%
1.559.15%40.85%
2.532.09%67.91%
3.514.13%85.87%
4.55.18%94.82%
5.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.87%28.13%
1.536.20%63.80%
2.513.57%86.43%
3.54.00%96.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Swansea City
Score012345
0
6.46%
12.86%
12.80%
8.50%
4.23%
1.68%
1
4.84%
9.63%
9.58%
6.36%
3.17%
1.26%
2
1.81%
3.60%
3.59%
2.38%
1.19%
0.47%
3
0.45%
0.90%
0.90%
0.59%
0.30%
0.12%
Luton Town
1-04.84%
2-01.81%
2-13.60%
3-00.45%
3-10.90%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-06.46%
1-19.63%
2-23.59%
3-30.59%
Swansea City
0-112.86%
0-212.80%
1-29.58%
0-38.50%
1-36.36%
2-32.38%
0-44.23%
1-43.17%
2-41.19%
3-40.30%
0-51.68%
1-51.26%
2-50.47%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Swansea City
Score012345
0
28.13%
25.93%
11.95%
3.67%
0.85%
0.16%
1
9.75%
8.99%
4.14%
1.27%
0.29%
0.05%
2
1.69%
1.56%
0.72%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Luton Town
1-09.75%
2-01.69%
2-11.56%
3-00.20%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-028.13%
1-18.99%
2-20.72%
Swansea City
0-125.93%
0-211.95%
1-24.14%
0-33.67%
1-31.27%
2-30.22%
0-40.85%
1-40.29%
0-50.16%