Derby County at Coventry City

Updated

Derby County

32.3%29.5%38.2%
Derby County WinDrawCoventry City Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 1

Coventry City

Last 4 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 0-4 at Cardiff City+290
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+160
W 0-2 vs Huddersfield+115
L 1-2 at Watford+400
Coventry City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Middlesbrough+195
T 1-1 at Blackburn+265
L 0-1 at Swansea City+280
W 0-2 vs Brentford+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+195+197+200+197+200+197+200-
Coventry City+140+159+155+149+148+149+159-
Draw+225+197+200+192+208+192+208-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+195---+175+205+205-
Coventry City+160---+140+155+155-
Draw+205---+185+205+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Coventry City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 50.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +205 to +195
Coventry City ML moved from +153 to +146

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Coventry City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 50.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Coventry City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Coventry City ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2-111o2-110o2-111-o2-111o2-110-
Underu2+115u2-110u2-110u2-109-u2-109u2-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-140 to u2+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.81%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.25%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.23%
Exactly 319.19%
Exactly 54.38%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.56%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.01%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Coventry City
Exactly 031.44%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.19%
Exactly 218.19%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.55%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 26.53%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coventry City
Exactly 058.52%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals11.20%
Wins by 3+ goals3.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Coventry City
Wins by 2+ goals16.75%
Wins by 3+ goals5.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Coventry City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal19.47%
Wins by 2 goals8.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Coventry City
Wins by 1 goal23.01%
Wins by 2 goals11.35%
Wins by 3 goals4.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.19%11.81%
1.562.96%37.04%
2.536.01%63.99%
3.516.83%83.17%
4.56.58%93.42%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.44%37.56%
1.525.66%74.34%
2.57.65%92.35%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Coventry City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.56%31.44%
1.532.18%67.82%
2.511.13%88.87%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.81%37.19%
1.526.02%73.98%
2.57.83%92.17%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Coventry City
Score012345
0
11.81%
13.67%
7.91%
3.05%
0.88%
0.20%
1
11.56%
13.38%
7.74%
2.99%
0.86%
0.20%
2
5.66%
6.55%
3.79%
1.46%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.85%
2.14%
1.24%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.45%
0.52%
0.30%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-011.56%
2-05.66%
2-16.55%
3-01.85%
3-12.14%
3-21.24%
4-00.45%
4-10.52%
4-20.30%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.81%
1-113.38%
2-23.79%
3-30.48%
Coventry City
0-113.67%
0-27.91%
1-27.74%
0-33.05%
1-32.99%
2-31.46%
0-40.88%
1-40.86%
2-40.42%
3-40.14%
0-50.20%
1-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Coventry City
Score01234
0
37.19%
19.93%
5.34%
0.95%
0.13%
1
16.86%
9.03%
2.42%
0.43%
0.06%
2
3.82%
2.05%
0.55%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.58%
0.31%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-016.86%
2-03.82%
2-12.05%
3-00.58%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-037.19%
1-19.03%
2-20.55%
Coventry City
0-119.93%
0-25.34%
1-22.42%
0-30.95%
1-30.43%
0-40.13%