Leeds United at Birmingham City

Updated

Leeds United

63.8%20.8%15.5%
Leeds United WinDrawWin
1.99Projected Goals 0.87
0Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last Games

Leeds United
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Cardiff City-225
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Swansea City+320
L 2-1 vs Sheffield United+295
L 0-2 at Coventry City+550
L 1-0 vs Blackpool+125
W 1-0 at Millwall+465

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-111+129+125+124+110+124+129+143.8
Birmingham City+312+238+225+199+259+199+259+225.5
Draw+268+226+215+225+248+225+248+253.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+100---+100+110+110+143.8
Birmingham City+260---+210+245+245+225.5
Draw+265---+230+250+250+253.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 40.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +116 to +110
Birmingham City ML moved from +259 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 40.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leeds United ML
Birmingham City ML moved from +220 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-123o2½+114o2¼-115o2¼-109o2½+102o2¼-109o2¼-109o2¼+101
Underu2½+105u2½-134u2¼-105u2¼-111u2½-120u2¼-111u2½-120u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.70%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 415.99%
Exactly 64.37%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.33%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.16%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 013.56%
Exactly 127.09%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.03%
Exactly 49.00%
Exactly 53.60%
Exactly 61.20%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 042.05%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.78%
Exactly 34.56%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.55%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 310.32%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 039.65%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.97%
Exactly 35.23%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 066.96%
Exactly 126.86%
Exactly 25.39%
Exactly 30.72%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals39.11%
Wins by 3+ goals19.56%
Wins by 4+ goals8.08%
Wins by 5+ goals2.78%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals4.81%
Wins by 3+ goals1.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals19.55%
Wins by 3 goals11.49%
Wins by 4 goals5.30%
Wins by 5 goals2.00%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal10.64%
Wins by 2 goals3.67%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.30%5.70%
1.577.96%22.04%
2.554.57%45.43%
3.532.24%67.76%
4.516.25%83.75%
5.57.09%92.91%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.44%13.56%
1.559.34%40.66%
2.532.28%67.72%
3.514.25%85.75%
4.55.25%94.75%
5.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.95%42.05%
1.521.52%78.48%
2.55.74%94.26%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.45%26.55%
1.538.24%61.76%
2.514.90%85.10%
3.54.57%95.43%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
5.70%
4.94%
2.14%
0.62%
0.13%
1
11.39%
9.87%
4.28%
1.23%
0.27%
2
11.38%
9.86%
4.27%
1.23%
0.27%
3
7.58%
6.57%
2.84%
0.82%
0.18%
4
3.79%
3.28%
1.42%
0.41%
0.09%
5
1.51%
1.31%
0.57%
0.16%
0.04%
Leeds United
1-011.39%
2-011.38%
2-19.86%
3-07.58%
3-16.57%
3-22.84%
4-03.79%
4-13.28%
4-21.42%
4-30.41%
5-01.51%
5-11.31%
5-20.57%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.70%
1-19.87%
2-24.27%
3-30.82%
Birmingham City
0-14.94%
0-22.14%
1-24.28%
0-30.62%
1-31.23%
2-31.23%
0-40.13%
1-40.27%
2-40.27%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
26.55%
10.65%
2.14%
0.29%
1
24.56%
9.85%
1.98%
0.26%
2
11.36%
4.56%
0.91%
0.12%
3
3.50%
1.40%
0.28%
0.04%
4
0.81%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-024.56%
2-011.36%
2-14.56%
3-03.50%
3-11.40%
3-20.28%
4-00.81%
4-10.32%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-026.55%
1-19.85%
2-20.91%
Birmingham City
0-110.65%
0-22.14%
1-21.98%
0-30.29%
1-30.26%
2-30.12%