England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Burnley
Bristol City 		34.1%
37.4%		28.6%
+166
+179
+165
+180
1.10
1.17		2.27
o2¼-119
u2½-123

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sheffield United
Coventry City 		33.1%
37.1%		29.8%
+194
+150
+185
+150
1.01
1.10		2.11
o2¼-114
u2½-129

Volatility Bet Value Active
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday 		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+287
+103
+285
+100
0.98
1.65		2.63
o2¼-115
u2½-128

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+353
-122
+365
-135
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-120
u2½+112

Hull City
Luton Town 		21.3%
54.3%		24.4%
+273
+103
+265
+100
0.94
1.66		2.60
o2½-109
u2½-101

Sunderland
Millwall 		30.1%
41.3%		28.5%
+247
+127
+240
+130
1.01
1.24		2.25
o2-118
u2+106

Middlesbrough
Oxford United 		58.2%
19.4%		22.5%
-161
+435
-165
+425
1.86
0.97		2.83
o2½-117
u2½+106

Derby County
Preston North End 		29.9%
41.6%		28.4%
+232
+135
+245
+120
1.01
1.25		2.26
o2-122
u2¼-128

Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers 		32.7%
39.6%		27.6%
+160
+178
+160
+175
1.12
1.27		2.39
o2½-105
u2½-109

Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion 		25.5%
47.7%		26.8%
+313
-108
+320
-115
0.97
1.43		2.40
o2½+102
u2½-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Derby County
Coventry City		17.9%
58.4%		23.7%
+522
-172
+460
-155
2
1		-1.86704-1.76469-1.72031
Stoke City
Blackburn		28.3%
44.7%		27.0%
+246
+115
+240
+115
2
0		-1.27877-1.26773-1.26404
Leeds United
Millwall		52.9%
22.5%		24.5%
-117
+363
-110
+350
0
1		-1.57262-1.55197-1.49028
Watford
Swansea City		26.9%
46.5%		26.6%
+292
-105
+300
-115
0
1		-0.70593-0.67598-0.76537
Portsmouth
Plymouth Argyle		27.9%
46.2%		25.9%
+198
+135
+190
+135
0
1		-0.89480-0.90515-0.77206
Norwich City
Sheffield Wednesday		32.1%
39.3%		28.6%
+260
+112
+235
+120
0
2		-0.78920-0.83873-0.93438
Middlesbrough
Queens Park Rangers		49.6%
25.3%		25.1%
-115
+315
-105
+285
4
1		-0.66398-0.71756-0.70209
Hull City
Oxford United		35.6%
36.6%		27.9%
+145
+201
+135
+200
0
1		-1.13585-1.14621-1.00602
Sheffield United
Bristol City		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+132
+213
+120
+250
2
1		-0.88034-0.81812-0.95371
Burnley
Millwall		35.9%
34.2%		29.9%
+188
+177
+185
+175
0
1		-1.05852-1.05834-1.07175
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday		27.8%
44.8%		27.3%
+334
-115
+285
+100
6
2		-1.50355-1.39647-1.28046
Sunderland
Queens Park Rangers		28.4%
45.2%		26.5%
+104
+288
+105
+275
0
0		-1.27125-1.27122-1.32954
Bristol City
Preston North End		30.6%
41.8%		27.6%
+197
+156
+200
+150
3
1		-1.12763-1.14816-1.18571
Coventry City
Middlesbrough		21.5%
53.9%		24.6%
+313
-121
+330
-135
3
0		-1.45655-1.50828-1.53582
Plymouth Argyle
Leeds United		5.9%
82.7%		11.4%
+1666
-650
+1500
-650
0
3		-0.18231-0.19225-0.19029
Portsmouth
Hull City		24.9%
49.6%		25.6%
+421
-152
+410
-160
1
1		-1.45856-1.47421-1.36418
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31789 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30416 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27429
0.04360
0.02987

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.