England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Portsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Hull City
Luton Town 		21.3%
54.3%		24.4%
+275
+105
+280
+100
0.94
1.66		2.60
o2¼-117
u2½-123

Volatility Bet Value Active
Sunderland
Millwall 		30.1%
41.3%		28.5%
+251
+127
+265
+130
1.01
1.24		2.25
o2-105
u2-105

Middlesbrough
Oxford United 		58.2%
19.4%		22.5%
-161
+435
-165
+425
1.86
0.97		2.83
o2½-118
u2½+106

Derby County
Preston North End 		29.9%
41.6%		28.4%
+225
+141
+225
+135
1.01
1.25		2.26
o2-115
u2¼-140

Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers 		32.7%
39.6%		27.6%
+160
+178
+155
+180
1.12
1.27		2.39
o2½-105
u2½-109

Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion 		25.5%
47.7%		26.8%
+292
-104
+290
-105
0.97
1.43		2.40
o2½-110
u2½+100

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Burnley
Bristol City 		34.1%
37.4%		28.6%
+171
+185
+170
+180
2.27
o2-128
u2¼-122

1st H
08:00		0
0
Sheffield United
Coventry City 		33.1%
37.1%		29.8%
+188
+154
+190
+150
2.11
o2¼-115
u2½-125

1st H
08:00		0
0
Cardiff City
Sheffield Wednesday 		22.4%
53.1%		24.5%
+287
+103
+285
+100
2.63
o2½+102
u2½-117

1st H
08:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Norwich City
Cardiff City		43.7%
28.9%		27.3%
+209
+126
+165
+155
1
2		-0.85465-0.98602-1.24053
Derby County
Stoke City		22.0%
52.5%		25.5%
+211
+135
+240
+115
1
2		-0.89314-0.81744-0.64464
Swansea City
Oxford United		36.2%
36.1%		27.7%
+137
+222
+145
+200
2
1		-0.90320-0.94868-1.01595
Sheffield United
Blackburn		41.9%
30.0%		28.1%
+169
+176
+145
+200
2
0		-1.02954-0.94868-0.87024
West Bromwich Albion
Luton Town		28.7%
43.7%		27.6%
+175
+161
+150
+180
1
1		-1.26805-1.27379-1.28855
Middlesbrough
Norwich City		27.5%
45.5%		27.0%
+140
+191
+130
+195
3
3		-1.31423-1.33120-1.30793
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion		13.0%
67.8%		19.2%
+327
-113
+365
-120
0
0		-1.33670-1.33865-1.64979
Millwall
Swansea City		24.5%
49.5%		26.0%
+199
+152
+190
+155
1
0		-1.13442-1.11773-1.40670
Oxford United
Sunderland		19.4%
57.9%		22.7%
+475
-171
+525
-195
0
2		-0.49724-0.46617-0.54682
Stoke City
Sheffield United		15.6%
61.9%		22.5%
+394
-133
+400
-145
0
2		-0.59446-0.57481-0.47910
Preston North End
Plymouth Argyle		34.0%
38.1%		27.9%
+139
+209
+150
+180
3
3		-1.25082-1.27379-1.27690
Hull City
Derby County		22.2%
52.7%		25.1%
+223
+126
+215
+125
1
1		-1.28367-1.28884-1.38302
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley		15.5%
63.4%		21.0%
+460
-136
+410
-145
0
0		-1.31710-1.38482-1.55865
Blackburn
Watford		26.6%
46.7%		26.6%
+202
+142
+190
+140
0
1		-0.92153-0.92553-0.76038
Luton Town
Coventry City		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+210
+131
+220
+120
2
3		-0.87606-0.83605-0.79087
Leeds United
Bristol City		50.9%
24.8%		24.3%
-110
+318
-110
+300
0
0		-1.32501-1.33124-1.41416
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31789 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30416 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27429
0.04360
0.02987

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.