England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Hull City
Luton Town 		21.3%
54.3%		24.4%
+256
+114
+280
+100
0.94
1.66		2.60
o2½+110
u2½-119

Sunderland
Millwall 		30.1%
41.3%		28.5%
+285
+116
+265
+130
1.01
1.24		2.25
o2+102
u2-112

Middlesbrough
Oxford United 		58.2%
19.4%		22.5%
-128
+361
-135
+400
1.86
0.97		2.83
o2½-117
u2½+103

Derby County
Preston North End 		29.9%
41.6%		28.4%
+224
+143
+225
+135
1.01
1.25		2.26
o2-109
u2¼-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Stoke City
Queens Park Rangers 		32.7%
39.6%		27.6%
+155
+182
+155
+180
1.12
1.27		2.39
o2½-110
u2½+100

Norwich City
West Bromwich Albion 		25.5%
47.7%		26.8%
+314
-111
+290
-105
0.97
1.43		2.40
o2½-110
u2½-103

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Blackburn
Watford		26.6%
46.7%		26.6%
+202
+142
+190
+140
0
1		-0.92153-0.92553-0.76038
Luton Town
Coventry City		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+210
+131
+220
+120
2
3		-0.87606-0.83605-0.79087
Leeds United
Bristol City		50.9%
24.8%		24.3%
-110
+318
-110
+300
0
0		-1.32501-1.33124-1.41416
Sheffield Wednesday
Portsmouth		31.6%
40.6%		27.9%
+101
+264
+115
+225
2
1		-0.75218-0.81482-1.15344
Sheffield United
Middlesbrough		23.7%
50.1%		26.2%
+283
-103
+270
-105
0
1		-0.71791-0.71701-0.69175
Plymouth Argyle
Millwall		17.6%
60.1%		22.3%
+453
-164
+460
-170
0
1		-0.51490-0.51061-0.50858
Sunderland
Luton Town		18.8%
57.7%		23.5%
+184
+159
+175
+155
2
1		-1.08072-1.06031-1.67296
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn		37.9%
33.9%		28.2%
+168
+174
+170
+170
0
0		-1.23639-1.22595-1.26663
Burnley
Hull City		35.5%
35.4%		29.1%
+140
+207
+165
+175
1
1		-1.25330-1.22622-1.23467
Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers		35.4%
36.1%		28.5%
+146
+194
+135
+205
1
1		-1.26794-1.25956-1.25541
Bristol City
Stoke City		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%
+201
+137
+185
+150
2
2		-1.28982-1.25716-1.33899
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday		30.7%
41.9%		27.4%
+276
+107
+270
+105
0
0		-1.27654-1.27461-1.29525
Norwich City
Preston North End		38.8%
32.2%		29.0%
+160
+184
+170
+170
2
2		-1.23292-1.22595-1.23856
Derby County
Oxford United		31.4%
41.1%		27.5%
+175
+165
+170
+170
1
1		-1.24559-1.23677-1.28920
Watford
Leeds United		9.2%
75.1%		15.7%
+834
-299
+825
-310
1
2		-0.32799-0.32780-0.28688
Portsmouth
Cardiff City		23.8%
51.2%		25.0%
+335
-118
+300
-110
0
2		-0.65371-0.69693-0.66980
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-0-3 (0.625)0-1.22040 
Sportsbooks41-0-3 (0.625)0-1.21573 
DRatings40-1-3 (0.375)0-1.24220
-0.02181
-0.02648

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.