England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn
19.2%
58.0%
22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81
2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Bristol City
Stoke City
26.7%
47.1%
26.2%
+201
+137
+185
+150
2
2
-1.28982-1.25716-1.33899
Swansea City
Sheffield Wednesday
30.7%
41.9%
27.4%
+276
+107
+270
+105
0
0
-1.27654-1.27461-1.29525
Norwich City
Preston North End
38.8%
32.2%
29.0%
+160
+184
+170
+170
2
2
-1.23292-1.22595-1.23856
Derby County
Oxford United
31.4%
41.1%
27.5%
+175
+165
+170
+170
1
1
-1.24559-1.23677-1.28920
Watford
Leeds United
9.2%
75.1%
15.7%
+834
-299
+825
-310
1
2
-0.32799-0.32780-0.28688
Portsmouth
Cardiff City
23.8%
51.2%
25.0%
+335
-118
+300
-110
0
2
-0.65371-0.69693-0.66980
Sunderland
Hull City
32.7%
39.1%
28.2%
+145
+190
+145
+185
1
0
-0.93565-0.94384-1.11663
Norwich City
Stoke City
34.4%
36.3%
29.4%
+171
+155
+160
+165
1
1
-1.32927-1.28888-1.22564
Burnley
Sheffield Wednesday
39.7%
31.8%
28.6%
+195
+159
+180
+170
2
0
-1.12061-1.06421-0.92483
Portsmouth
Queens Park Rangers
20.8%
55.8%
23.4%
+315
-110
+315
-115
2
1
-1.45968-1.47172-1.56834
Derby County
Millwall
23.4%
49.8%
26.8%
+324
+101
+295
+100
1
1
-1.22322-1.25931-1.31770
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
17.8%
60.2%
22.0%
+421
-154
+380
-145
2
0
-1.68962-1.61757-1.72468
Swansea City
Blackburn
28.4%
45.2%
26.4%
+239
+115
+230
+120
0
1
-0.80415-0.83480-0.79334
Coventry City
Preston North End
34.6%
35.7%
29.6%
+145
+204
+145
+195
0
1
-1.14260-1.12646-1.02882
West Bromwich Albion
Oxford United
47.6%
26.5%
25.8%
+103
+287
+100
+280
1
1
-1.28262-1.29000-1.35367
Watford
Luton Town
18.2%
58.3%
23.5%
+280
+103
+260
+105
0
3
-0.74104-0.76787-0.54022
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks103-0-7 (0.650)0-1.12723 
Sportsbooks103-0-7 (0.650)0-1.11062 
DRatings102-1-7 (0.550)0-1.12396
0.00327
-0.01334

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.