England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedPortsmouth
Blackburn 		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+335
-130
+345
-160
0.94
1.81		2.75
o2½-132
u2¾-116

Games for Nov 22, 2024
Games for Nov 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Plymouth Argyle
Cardiff City		22.4%
53.9%		23.7%
+246
+111
+260
+105
0
5		-0.77520-0.76787-0.61873
Sheffield United
Leeds United		18.6%
58.5%		22.9%
+313
-110
+310
-115
0
2		-0.68150-0.67712-0.53676
Cardiff City
Bristol City		22.7%
53.2%		24.1%
+388
-137
+375
-140
1
1		-1.40731-1.41001-1.42379
Millwall
West Bromwich Albion		19.5%
56.1%		24.3%
+358
-115
+345
-120
0
0		-1.30331-1.31751-1.41317
Middlesbrough
Watford		45.9%
27.1%		27.0%
+103
+254
+100
+250
1
2		-1.29968-1.30048-1.30508
Stoke City
Swansea City		31.3%
41.1%		27.6%
+210
+131
+215
+125
0
0		-1.31368-1.28884-1.28554
Luton Town
Sheffield United		25.4%
47.3%		27.3%
+287
-101
+270
+100
0
2		-0.72464-0.74381-0.74860
Blackburn
Plymouth Argyle		36.1%
36.2%		27.7%
+126
+214
+125
+210
1
2		-1.18149-1.17896-1.01583
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County		26.4%
47.3%		26.2%
+228
+130
+225
+125
0
2		-0.86698-0.86034-0.74765
Sheffield Wednesday
Coventry City		15.3%
63.1%		21.6%
+420
-132
+375
-130
2
1		-1.67552-1.60664-1.87810
Preston North End
Burnley		12.5%
67.5%		19.9%
+389
-120
+400
-125
0
0		-1.28783-1.30354-1.61279
Oxford United
Portsmouth		30.3%
43.1%		26.6%
+180
+160
+190
+145
1
1		-1.27988-1.25917-1.32539
Hull City
Norwich City		19.6%
56.4%		24.0%
+260
+105
+255
+100
0
4		-0.74619-0.74381-0.57215
Leeds United
Sunderland		53.8%
22.4%		23.9%
+136
+218
+145
+190
2
2		-1.23863-1.25917-1.43263
Sheffield Wednesday
Bristol City		18.6%
58.9%		22.5%
+252
+111
+250
+105
0
0		-1.31610-1.33094-1.49108
Swansea City
Sheffield United		19.9%
55.8%		24.3%
+368
-130
+395
-145
0
1		-0.60525-0.57357-0.58315
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks103-0-7 (0.650)0-1.12723 
Sportsbooks103-0-7 (0.650)0-1.11062 
DRatings102-1-7 (0.550)0-1.12396
0.00327
-0.01334

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/10/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-3, 33 pts)24.210.411.484.032.6%66.6%30.2%0.0%
2Sunderland (9-2-4, 31 pts)20.112.813.173.43.7%11.5%55.6%0.0%
3Leeds United (8-2-5, 29 pts)24.48.712.986.052.3%78.9%19.2%0.0%
4Burnley (7-2-6, 27 pts)19.611.714.773.44.2%14.9%53.1%0.0%
5West Bromwich Albion (6-2-7, 25 pts)17.911.916.169.91.6%5.7%42.6%0.1%
6Watford (8-6-1, 25 pts)19.117.010.067.20.5%2.1%27.5%0.6%
7Middlesbrough (7-5-3, 24 pts)21.213.211.575.34.9%17.2%59.5%0.0%
8Millwall (6-4-5, 23 pts)16.515.614.063.40.0%0.2%17.1%1.2%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.513.062.40.0%0.3%12.8%2.1%
10Bristol City (5-3-7, 22 pts)16.113.916.064.20.2%0.9%18.3%1.2%
11Swansea City (5-6-4, 19 pts)16.217.012.861.30.0%0.4%10.3%2.5%
12Derby County (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.018.212.857.90.0%0.1%3.6%7.2%
13Stoke City (5-6-4, 19 pts)15.917.312.860.50.0%0.2%7.3%3.9%
14Norwich City (4-5-6, 18 pts)16.115.014.963.30.0%0.3%17.9%1.3%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-3, 18 pts)15.918.112.159.60.0%0.0%7.0%6.0%
16Oxford United (4-6-5, 17 pts)12.220.313.550.10.0%0.0%0.5%37.7%
17Coventry City (4-7-4, 16 pts)16.117.112.861.00.0%0.7%9.4%4.1%
18Plymouth Argyle (4-7-4, 16 pts)12.321.112.649.60.0%0.0%0.6%45.3%
19Hull City (3-6-6, 15 pts)13.217.914.954.40.0%0.0%1.9%16.7%
20Preston North End (3-6-6, 15 pts)12.219.014.851.40.0%0.0%0.5%31.6%
21Luton Town (4-8-3, 15 pts)15.118.912.157.20.0%0.0%3.2%10.3%
22Cardiff City (4-8-3, 15 pts)14.020.012.054.10.0%0.0%1.3%20.3%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.820.514.747.20.0%0.0%0.1%58.9%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-7, 10 pts)10.819.216.048.40.0%0.0%0.5%49.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.