England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+509
-191
+500
-195
0.79
2.18		2.97
o3+103
u3-117

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+110
+272
+115
+250
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2-145
u2¼-118

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+317
-113
+315
-115
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½-107
u2½-104

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-118
+332
-120
+330
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2½+105
u2½-112

Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+541
-195
+510
-200
0.93
2.07		3.00
o3+116
u2¾-102

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+365
-133
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-113
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+264
+103
+260
+100
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-122
u2¾-115

Volatility Bet Value Active
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+145
+207
+140
+205
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-123
u2+118

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+137
+214
+135
+210
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼-104
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+357
-130
+385
-140
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-112
u2½+104

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Sunderland
Sheffield United 		17.5%
59.2%		23.4%
+285
+106
+280
+105
2.56
o2-140
u2¼-116

TIME
HALF		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wigan Athletic
Sunderland		22.8%
52.3%		24.9%
+237
+134
+250
+120
1
2		-0.88989-0.83986-0.64854
Blackburn
Middlesbrough		18.4%
58.9%		22.7%
+339
-105
+350
-115
2
1		-1.51454-1.55405-1.69238
Coventry City
Cardiff City		20.9%
55.1%		24.0%
+227
+135
+235
+120
1
0		-1.22309-1.25924-1.56614
Blackpool
Sheffield United		10.1%
71.4%		18.5%
+456
-154
+480
-170
3
3		-1.41231-1.43700-1.68973
Queens Park Rangers
Luton Town		29.0%
44.6%		26.4%
+310
+101
+290
+100
1
3		-0.73305-0.74244-0.80636
Preston North End
Bristol City		29.3%
43.5%		27.2%
+206
+146
+205
+145
1
2		-0.93854-0.94348-0.83351
Blackburn
Wigan Athletic		32.1%
40.7%		27.2%
+176
+181
+165
+185
0
1		-1.07216-1.09688-0.89840
Hull City
Huddersfield		19.0%
58.1%		22.9%
+231
+135
+220
+130
0
2		-0.88199-0.88201-0.54259
Cardiff City
Wigan Athletic		30.3%
43.1%		26.6%
+199
+165
+190
+160
3
1		-1.11835-1.11541-1.19478
Preston North End
Norwich City		17.3%
59.4%		23.4%
+417
-133
+415
-140
3
2		-1.67611-1.68918-1.75660
Watford
Blackpool		40.3%
30.8%		28.8%
+132
+228
+125
+230
1
3		-1.22166-1.24320-1.17642
Middlesbrough
Millwall		29.4%
42.1%		28.5%
+223
+169
+165
+180
0
2		-0.98337-1.08028-0.86553
Sunderland
Swansea City		24.2%
49.9%		25.9%
+241
+123
+260
+105
1
2		-0.83308-0.76787-0.69547
Luton Town
West Bromwich Albion		22.0%
53.0%		24.9%
+278
+105
+285
-105
0
0		-1.31059-1.31920-1.38926
Rotherham United
Blackburn		22.3%
52.8%		24.8%
+330
-107
+320
-110
0
3		-0.69766-0.69709-0.63798
Burnley
Coventry City		55.2%
20.1%		24.7%
+135
+219
+130
+210
1
0		-0.89040-0.88312-0.59354
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.