England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+437
-165
+500
-195
0.79
2.18		2.97
o2¾-113
u3-129

Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+110
+272
+110
+265
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2-140
u2¼-118

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+317
-113
+315
-115
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½+100
u2½-107

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-127
+385
-120
+340
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2¼-118
u2½-110

Volatility Bet Value Active
Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+600
-219
+575
-220
0.93
2.07		3.00
o2¾-118
u3-128

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+376
-137
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-117
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+264
+103
+260
+100
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-107
u2¾-122

Volatility Bet Value Active
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+145
+208
+135
+215
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-118
u2+108

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+129
+229
+135
+210
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼-104
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+330
-118
+350
-130
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-106
u2½-105

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sheffield United
Luton Town		43.6%
28.3%		28.1%
+136
+235
+125
+230
1
1		-1.21460-1.24316-1.26997
Cardiff City
Bristol City		26.9%
47.9%		25.2%
+235
+131
+235
+125
0
2		-0.87110-0.86034-0.73572
Blackburn
Sheffield United		15.2%
63.1%		21.7%
+350
-109
+335
-115
0
3		-0.66855-0.67113-0.46020
Luton Town
Swansea City		20.9%
54.9%		24.2%
+214
+135
+215
+135
2
0		-1.17590-1.19683-1.56571
Watford
Preston North End		32.6%
38.2%		29.1%
+271
+145
+230
+135
0
0		-1.14256-1.18130-1.23282
Sunderland
Stoke City		17.6%
59.6%		22.8%
+274
+115
+240
+115
1
0		-1.33712-1.27576-1.73995
Blackpool
Burnley		8.1%
75.7%		16.2%
+525
-171
+525
-185
3
3		-1.43213-1.47198-1.82139
Hull City
West Bromwich Albion		13.4%
67.0%		19.6%
+570
-190
+530
-180
2
5		-0.45917-0.49213-0.40039
Rotherham United
Queens Park Rangers		20.5%
56.2%		23.3%
+265
+116
+255
+115
1
1		-1.26688-1.24258-1.45749
Middlesbrough
Reading		41.6%
31.1%		27.3%
+105
+282
+100
+275
0
1		-1.37180-1.37279-1.16642
Millwall
Norwich City		18.4%
57.4%		24.2%
+345
-113
+330
-110
0
2		-0.66343-0.69589-0.55523
Cardiff City
West Bromwich Albion		18.7%
58.6%		22.7%
+525
-164
+500
-165
0
0		-1.41511-1.38613-1.48236
Blackburn
Reading		40.8%
32.2%		27.0%
+145
+217
+135
+210
0
3		-1.17649-1.18127-1.13280
Sunderland
Sheffield United		10.1%
71.5%		18.3%
+385
-128
+375
-130
1
2		-0.60761-0.61906-0.33504
Middlesbrough
Stoke City		26.0%
47.1%		26.9%
+175
+179
+170
+180
2
2		-1.20148-1.18026-1.31457
Blackpool
Queens Park Rangers		18.7%
58.5%		22.8%
+315
-109
+320
-120
1
0		-1.45256-1.48408-1.67547
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76209 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76613 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52482
0.23727
0.24131

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.