England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hull City
Middlesbrough 		12.4%
68.9%		18.7%
+394
-149
+455
-155
0.79
2.18		2.97
o2¾-113
u3-120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Millwall
Oxford United 		37.9%
33.8%		28.3%
+110
+272
+110
+275
1.20
1.11		2.31
o2-115
u2+109

Queens Park Rangers
Watford 		19.7%
56.8%		23.5%
+363
-124
+350
-125
0.92
1.75		2.67
o2½-102
u2½-107

Leeds United
Blackburn 		54.3%
22.2%		23.5%
-139
+390
-145
+395
1.75
1.04		2.79
o2½-110
u2½+103

Plymouth Argyle
Bristol City 		15.8%
63.9%		20.2%
+600
-219
+625
-240
0.93
2.07		3.00
o2¾-118
u3-128

Cardiff City
Coventry City 		17.3%
60.3%		22.4%
+365
-128
+355
-135
0.88
1.84		2.72
o2½-117
u2½+106

Luton Town
Norwich City 		22.5%
51.9%		25.6%
+272
+102
+280
-105
0.92
1.55		2.47
o2½-107
u2¾-122

Volatility Bet Value Active
West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End 		41.1%
30.6%		28.3%
+149
+205
+145
+200
1.24
1.04		2.28
o2-117
u2+112

Burnley
Stoke City 		34.3%
36.4%		29.3%
+130
+231
+125
+230
1.06
1.11		2.17
o2¼+101
u2½-140

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Swansea City 		17.5%
60.7%		21.8%
+330
-118
+340
-125
0.91
1.91		2.82
o2½-106
u2½-105

Games for Nov 29, 2024
Games for Dec 1, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Watford
Birmingham City		41.1%
30.3%		28.5%
+111
+270
+110
+260
1
1		-1.26560-1.26012-1.25355
Millwall
Swansea City		21.6%
52.6%		25.7%
+196
+155
+195
+155
2
2		-1.21997-1.19485-1.35743
Huddersfield
Norwich City		22.6%
51.9%		25.5%
+434
-145
+420
-150
1
2		-0.56070-0.56156-0.65495
Luton Town
Bristol City		28.7%
45.0%		26.4%
+158
+182
+160
+175
0
2		-1.07160-1.06161-0.79946
Rotherham United
Preston North End		20.2%
55.4%		24.4%
+370
-110
+350
-115
0
0		-1.26447-1.27372-1.41165
Hull City
Burnley		7.7%
77.3%		15.0%
+633
-209
+575
-195
1
1		-1.53851-1.47203-1.89459
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn		29.3%
43.4%		27.3%
+139
+210
+135
+210
1
2		-1.17186-1.18127-0.83513
Sheffield United
Middlesbrough		38.2%
32.0%		29.8%
+233
+130
+225
+130
2
2		-1.23134-1.22758-1.21076
Swansea City
Blackpool		41.2%
30.3%		28.5%
+199
+156
+200
+140
1
0		-1.11428-1.15031-0.88714
Stoke City
Huddersfield		24.3%
49.8%		25.9%
+157
+213
+150
+200
1
3		-1.16674-1.14816-0.69689
Norwich City
Hull City		47.8%
25.9%		26.3%
+113
+266
+100
+265
1
2		-1.32313-1.34519-1.35085
Preston North End
Luton Town		26.2%
47.3%		26.5%
+245
+139
+235
+125
1
0		-1.25327-1.25836-1.34037
Coventry City
Millwall		26.0%
46.1%		27.8%
+223
+152
+215
+140
2
3		-0.94688-0.92576-0.77336
Queens Park Rangers
Sunderland		31.9%
40.8%		27.3%
+264
+116
+250
+110
2
2		-1.26553-1.28884-1.29850
Bristol City
Wigan Athletic		31.6%
41.7%		26.7%
+248
+125
+250
+115
1
1		-1.24935-1.25713-1.32036
Birmingham City
Cardiff City		21.2%
54.9%		23.9%
+256
+125
+260
+110
0
1		-0.83713-0.79308-0.59944
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76209 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.76613 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.52482
0.23727
0.24131

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 11/25/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (10-2-4, 34 pts)23.510.212.382.924.9%56.3%39.4%0.0%
2Leeds United (9-2-5, 32 pts)24.88.712.686.957.6%80.9%18.6%0.0%
3Sunderland (9-2-5, 32 pts)19.912.313.973.53.2%13.1%54.7%0.0%
4Burnley (8-2-6, 30 pts)20.111.314.575.05.2%17.0%59.5%0.0%
5Middlesbrough (8-5-3, 27 pts)21.613.111.376.26.6%21.9%58.7%0.0%
6West Bromwich Albion (6-2-8, 26 pts)17.811.516.770.21.7%5.9%44.5%0.0%
7Watford (8-6-2, 26 pts)18.716.510.866.80.2%1.8%26.8%0.8%
8Millwall (6-4-6, 24 pts)16.215.214.763.20.1%0.8%14.5%1.3%
9Blackburn (6-5-4, 22 pts)16.516.612.962.30.0%0.4%11.7%1.8%
10Bristol City (5-4-7, 22 pts)15.814.515.763.10.0%0.6%14.6%2.0%
11Derby County (5-6-5, 20 pts)14.418.013.756.80.0%0.0%3.1%8.6%
12Stoke City (5-6-5, 20 pts)15.416.913.760.00.2%0.2%5.1%3.8%
13Norwich City (4-5-7, 19 pts)15.714.615.762.80.2%0.5%15.0%1.9%
14Swansea City (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.917.512.660.30.1%0.1%8.6%3.4%
15Sheffield Wednesday (5-7-4, 19 pts)15.617.712.759.60.0%0.1%5.5%4.9%
16Luton Town (5-8-3, 18 pts)15.818.511.859.10.0%0.0%5.2%5.2%
17Coventry City (4-7-5, 17 pts)16.016.513.561.40.0%0.4%11.8%2.4%
18Oxford United (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.220.713.149.60.0%0.0%0.1%39.7%
19Plymouth Argyle (4-7-5, 17 pts)12.120.713.349.50.0%0.0%0.1%42.6%
20Preston North End (3-6-7, 16 pts)11.918.615.551.20.0%0.0%0.4%30.4%
21Cardiff City (4-8-4, 16 pts)13.519.812.653.20.0%0.0%1.0%22.8%
22Hull City (3-7-6, 15 pts)12.618.714.752.50.0%0.0%0.8%22.5%
23Portsmouth (2-7-6, 12 pts)10.720.514.847.00.0%0.0%0.1%56.6%
24Queens Park Rangers (1-7-8, 11 pts)10.518.816.748.20.0%0.0%0.2%49.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.